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The report below is taken from today's playoff edition of Fantasy Index Weekly. The newsletter includes our player rankings, camp reports, stat projections, and custom rankings for the games being played this weekend.

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SAN FRANCISCO at GREEN BAY

Overview:
Weather will be a factor in this game, and that could favor the 49ers, given their style of play (they rely less on their passing game). The early forecast calls for a high of 4 degrees and a low of minus-15. With an evening kickoff, it probably will be one of the half-dozen coldest games in NFL history. Winds of 9 mph, and a 20 percent chance of snow. ... These teams have met three times in the last two years, and San Francisco has won all of them. The 49ers won 30-22 at Lambeau in Week 1 of the 2012 season, in a game that wasn't close (Green Bay scored a late touchdown to pull within 8). They won again in the playoffs, 45-31, with the Packers not at all prepared to handle the zone-read (Colin Kaepernick ran for 181 yards and 2 TDs). When they met again at Candlestick in Week 1 this year, the 49ers scored 10 points in the final 6 minutes and won 34-28. There is history between these teams. They met four times in the playoffs between 1995-2001. The 49ers won one of those on a last-minute touchdown catch by Terrell Owens; the Packers won the other three. ... The 49ers are a 2-point favorite in this game, with an over-under of 48 points. That suggests a score of about 25-23.

49ers:
Everything seems to be falling into place for San Francisco to win this game. It's on the road, but the weather should fit better with their kind of smash-mouth game. And Green Bay has the worst defense of any team in the postseason. In part because of injuries, the Packers are really susceptible against the run. They're allowing 4.63 yards per carry (the worst of any playoff team), and they've really tailed off in the second half of the season, in part because of injuries. Green Bay allowed only 84 rushing yards per game in the first eight weeks of the season. In its last nine games, it's allowed an average of 157 rushing yards, with 10 TDs in those nine games. The 49ers, meanwhile, ranked 3rd in rushing in the regular season, up at 138 yards per game. So this looks like a game where San Francisco might simply feed the ball to Frank Gore with some success, and then fit in all the other offensive pieces. The 49ers ran for 18 touchdowns in the regular season; the Packers allowed 16, so that's a combined 34 in 32 games -- 3 more than any other game this weekend. There are other enticing run games on the board this week (Kansas City, Philadelphia), but San Francisco looks as likely as anyone to finish with the most rushing yards and rushing touchdowns. We could see them easily going for 180-plus yards and multiple touchdowns. The problem with Gore when you try to compare him to the likes of LeSean McCoy and Jamaal Charles is that he doesn't play the same role in the passing game, and he's spelled more. Gore averaged 71 rushing yards in the regular season, just over half of the team total. He averages only 8 yards per game as a pass catcher, and he's scored only half of their rushing touchdowns (9 of 18). So we're thinking an estimate of about 90-100 total yards makes sense for him, probably with a touchdown. Gore wasn't a big factor in the Week 1 game, held to 44 yards on 21 carries, but the Packers were a lot better against the run at that time. Gore ran for over 110 yards in both the 2012 games against Green Bay. Kendall Hunter is the main change-of-pace back; he averaged 22 rushing yards in the regular season, with 4 TDs. LaMichael James will return kicks, but he's just a spot-duty guy as a running back, at under 8 yards per game in the regular season. ... We're not crazy about Colin Kaepernick. He's had his struggles this year -- problems with reading coverages and throwing accurately. In the opener against Green Bay, he passed for 412 yards and 3 TDs. But since that time, he's passed for only 186 yards per game, lower than every other team in the league. San Francisco in the regular season averaged 22 fewer passing yards than Kansas City, and 46-plus fewer yards than any of the other six teams playing this weekend. This defense isn't particularly good against the pass, but the weather should be problematic (he admits he's nervous about it), and the 49ers probably also will try to rely on the run anyway. San Francisco has run for 149-plus yards eight times this year; Kaepernick in those games has averaged 185 passing yards, with 10 TDs. As you lay it out logically, the 49ers definitely project to put up the worst passing yards of any team playing this weekend. Maybe they sneak up to 200-210 yards. And they're a middle-of-the-pack option in terms of touchdown passes. Kaepernick tossed 3 TDs in the earlier game, but he's thrown only 21 TDs all year. Green Bay has allowed 30, so that's 51 in 32 games, which would be 1.6 in ideal conditions. More like 1.3 looks more likely, we think. Kaepernick's strongest fantasy attribute is his mobility; he averaged 33 rushing yards in the regular season, with 4 TDs, and this looks like a run-type game. Makes sense to project him for about 40 yards, with maybe a 30 percent chance of a rushing touchdown. ... It's not a particularly good matchup for the passing game, but we still have some interest in Anquan Boldin. He killed the Packers in the earlier game, with 13 catches for 208 yards and a touchdown, and he's been coming on recently. He's gone over 90 yards in four of his last six games, and he just caught 9 balls for 149 and a touchdown on Sunday. The return of Michael Crabtree may be loosening up defenses for him some, because Boldin scored 5 TDs in his last seven regular-season games. Also note that he's a big, physical receiver, which might translate better in lesser weather conditions. Boldin went on the great run in the playoffs last year, with 4 TDs in four games. He went for 145 yards against the Colts and 104 yards in the Super Bowl. With this in mind, we're slotting Boldin a little higher than you might otherwise think. Crabtree looks more ordinary. He might still be regaining his confidence as he works his way back. In five regular-season games, he caught 19 passes for 284 yards and a touchdown. ... Also note that Vernon Davis has been a postseason monster. For different reasons, he's elevated his game.

Now, those two 2-TD games were with Alex Smith at quarterback. And the worst of those games was the one against the Packers. But Davis was huge in that Week 1 game against them -- 6 catches for 98 yards and 2 TDs. That was his 2nd-best statistical game of the season, and Davis has been the guy the 49ers have tended to look for in the red zone all year. He's caught 13 of the team's 21 TD passes -- over half. So he's another guy that can't be disregarded, even if the overall passing projection suggests he shouldn't be that great. ... The 49ers Defense looks average in interceptions. They intercepted 16 passes in the regular season, but Aaron Rodgers doesn't throw many of those -- just 6 in essentially half of a season. But Rodgers has had some problems with the pressure and looks San Francisco will throw at him. He's thrown 1 interception in each of his last three games against them. And for sacks, this might be the best defense on the board this week. San Francisco had 38 sacks in the regular season, which is only 6th among the eight teams playing this weekend, but Rodgers will hang onto the ball too long at times. Defenses sacked him 21 times in his half season of work. Blending those numbers, it looks like a fair estimate is 2-3 sacks. San Francisco isn't dynamic in the kick-return game. In Jim Harbaugh's first game, they scored 2 TDs on returns. But they've now gone 52 straight games without one of those touchdowns. ... The 49ers placed Mario Manningham on injured reserve, so Quinton Patton will be their No. 3 receiver. He has no real fantasy value unless you're drafting essentially everybody, but Patton is kind of neat player. He can make people miss. Against Arizona, he had one impressive catch and also picked up 26 yards on a reverse. ... With the weather, it's not a super matchup for Phil Dawson, but he might be the highest-scoring kicker this week anyway. He scored 140 points in the regular season, No. 2 among guys who are kicking this weekend, while the Packers allowed 120 kicker points, the most of any team playing in this round. Dawson has scored double-digit points five weeks in a row, which is very rare. He spent years playing in Cleveland, so he's got a lot of experience kicking in poor conditions (in 2007, he hit a 49-yarder in a blizzard against Buffalo). In 14 years with the Browns, Dawson converted almost 85 percent of his field goals on that field; opponents were under 78 percent. When the Giants beat Green Bay in a sub-zero NFC Championship game in 2007, the kickers were 5-7 on field goals, with misses from 36 and 41 yards.

Packers:
This is a tough matchup for the Packers. San Francisco has had their number recently, and that's a tough defense. In the regular season, only Carolina and Seattle allowed fewer points, and only four defenses gave up fewer yards. The flicker of hope, it seems, is that San Francisco has looked a little vulnerable against the pass recently. Matt Ryan threw for 348 yards and 2 TDs at Candlestick in Week 17, and Carson Palmer put up 407 and 2 TDs on Sunday. And now they'll be without one of their starting corners (Carlos Rogers injured a hamstring at Arizona -- no way can they put him out there in sub-zero temperatures). San Francisco ranked 4th in pass defense in the regular season, but it played only five games against what you would call good passing teams, and all of those quarterbacks played pretty well. That includes Aaron Rodgers; he went for 333 yards and 3 TDs against them in Week 1. In addition to the two late-season guys, you've got Palmer going for 298 and 2 TDs at Candlestick, and Drew Brees passing for 305 and a touchdown at the Superdome. So for those five quarterbacks, that's an average of 338 passing yards, with 10 TDs in five games. Setting aside the Chicago game (where he was hurt on the first possession), Rodgers in the regular season averaged 314 passing yards, with 17 TDs in those eight full games. So Rodgers is definitely in play to make a run at 300 yards and multiple touchdowns. Working in his favor, he's got four good wide receivers working against a secondary with some holes. Against him, the temperatures are dipping down into the nasty-low levels. Rodgers has lost three games against San Francisco the last two years, but his stats have been pretty good -- 2, 2 and 3 TDs, and 303, 257 and 333 yards. He's not the running threat he was earlier in his career; he averaged 15 rushing yards as a starter in the regular season, with no touchdowns. (In each of his first three years as a starter, Rodgers ran for 4-plus TDs). ... We're slotting Eddie Lacy lower than usual. He's a very good back. He averaged 104 yards (87 run, 17 rec) in his last 13 regular-season games, with 10 TDs. But San Francisco is tough against the run. Only three teams allowed fewer rushing yards in the regular season (and none of them are playing this weekend). The 49ers allowed an average of only 85 rushing yards in the last 13 weeks of the regular season, with just 5 TD runs. Lacy wasn't effective in the season opener at Candlestick, carrying only 14 times for 41 yards. He'll also be spelled by James Starks, who's played well recently (running for 47 and 88 yards in the last two games). The weather conditions should be poor; that works in favor of Lacy and running the ball. But we just don't see how it makes any sense to slot him as high as usual. ... The Packers have the nice quartet of receivers, and they'll cause some headaches for San Francisco's secondary. When the weather conditions get ugly, that can favor receivers over defensive backs -- they know where they're going. Jordy Nelson and James Jones are both bigger guys. Nelson tore up Detroit's secondary for 3 TDs in a poor weather game a few years back. He led the team with 7 catches for 130 yards and a touchdown back in Week 1. To us, he gets the slight edge over the other guys. Jones got shut out in the opener at San Francisco, but we won't put too much weight in that. This is a different game in different weather. And it's not as if Jones simply can't play against San Francisco; in both of the two games last year, he went over 80 yards and scored. Randall Cobb also potentially could be their No. 1 guy. He came back against Chicago last week (from a broken leg) and shook off some rust. He wasn't used as extensively as usual, but both of his receptions went for touchdowns. As a slot-type receiver, he tends to work the shorter routes, and those might be more popular in this game, given the weather. We're slotting Jarrett Boykin fourth among these receivers, but he's also got some ability -- he might outproduce one or two of the bigger-name guys. ... We don't have much interest in Andrew Quarless. At best, he's a serviceable tight end, and they've got a lot of other pass catchers who seem to come in higher in the pecking order. Quarless averaged 28 receiving yards in the 10 regular-season games he started, with 2 TDs. ... We're not particularly interested in the Packers Defense. They intercepted only 11 passes in the regular season, while Colin Kaepernick threw only 8; so on paper, it's the worst interception matchup. There is some sack potential. Green Bay had 44 sacks in the regular season, while Kaepernick does get caught holding the ball at times (he took 39). Combined, that's 83 sacks in 32 games, or about 2.6 on average. But the Packers will be without Clay Matthews, and he's their best sack guy. Green Bay scored only 2 defensive touchdowns in the regular season, while San Francisco didn't allow any of those. The one dimension we like here is Micah Hyde; with him, Green Bay appears to have the best kick return units playing this week. Hyde scored on a punt return in the regular season and had a long kickoff return two weeks ago against the Steelers. With the weather conditions, there shouldn't be any touchbacks in this game, and lesser footing makes it more likely to break a long return. ... We see Mason Crosby as a below-average kicking prospect. He scored 141 points in the regular season, but San Francisco allowed a league-low 88. The weather conditions will make misses from around 40 yards a lot more likely. When the Giants won the NFC Championship in 2007 at Green Bay in similar weather, Lawrence Tynes went 3-5 on field goals but had misses from 36 and 41 yards (which never would have happened in warmer weather). But ultimately, it comes down to how the game plays out. If the Packers win this game, Crosby (who went 2-for-2 in that Giants game) should be fine. Our leaning is that they'll lose, making him one of the bottom couple of players at this position.