For those using the PPR rankings, Cordarrelle Patterson is too high in the Week 13 rankings. He’s 38th and 39th in the standard and TD-only rankings, and that’s more in line with his value for this week.
On these rankings, I’m projecting numbers for each guy – how many yards and touchdowns each team will produce, and then how those stats are divided amongst the guys.
With the Raiders, I don’t see much difference between their three wide receivers – Seth Roberts, Johnny Holton and Patterson. I would expect one of those three will come up with good stats against a Giants defense that’s been pretty awful in a lot of games. But I don’t see much difference between the three.
So how, then, does Patterson work his way up into the top 20 in the PPR rankings?, you might ask.
After I put together the rankings, the auditing occurs in the standard format. I skim over the rankings to make sure everything’s in order. If you see something silly, you go in and adjust the rankings.
But I don’t look closely at the PPR rankings, and that’s how Patterson snuck into the top 20.
Like Jarvis Landry, he’s a receiver who’s catching only short passes. He’s averaging under 9 yards per reception. He was even lower earlier in the year, so we’ve got his yards-per-catch figure down at 7.3. When I juiced up his workload this week (since he’ll be more of a starter guy) I didn’t give thought to his yards per catch.
I’ve got Patterson finishing with 47 receiving yards, but if we leave that YPC average in place, that would mean he’d catch over 6 passes, making him a very reliable option in PPR. In reality, when they start using him more this week, his route tree will also change. He ain’t catching 6 passes.
In a gut sense, I would put Patterson more about 35th among wide receivers this week. A decent plug-in option for those scouring the waiver wire, but not a reliable player who can be counted on.
Apologies.
—Ian Allan