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Dynasty Leagues

Hot 100 receivers

Grading the long-term value of wide receivers

Dynasty rankings are tricky. You get into not only what players are doing now and in the near future, but what they might do in future seasons – often with different teams and offenses. Certainly Emmanuel Sanders is better than D.J. Moore today, for example, but Moore is 10 years younger.

I don’t have a fancy formula for these kind of rankings. I do them by hand. I put the guys in order, 1 thru 100, and then I go down the list over and over, moving guys up and down a few spots until it feels right. I’m trying to balance production (with production in 2018 and 2019 being more important than 2020 and beyond) with the player’s age.

I have the rookies tagged with black dots, and I’ll comment on them briefly.

There were two selected in the first round: Calvin Ridley and D.J. Moore. Neither looks like they’re going to make a big impact this year. I don’t think there’s any chance of either them finishing with top-40 receiving numbers. At all. But both seem to be coming along just fine. Both might be top-30 receivers next year, and have a bunch of top-20 receiving seasons in them. So I’ve got both of those guys in my top 30 overall.

There are seven other rookie receivers who seem to be developing just fine, and I’ve got them in my top 60. These guys won’t help you much at all this year, but they look like they’ll develop into NFL starters. That should be good pros.

Definitely Christian Kirk in Arizona. I’m very confident that he’s for real. And I like the look of Courtland Sutton, TreQuan Smith, Anthony Miller, Antonio Callaway, James Washington and Michael Gallup.

None of those receivers will help you much this year, but they all look like they’ll stick around and provide some stats in the future. That’s enough where I think you have to start thinking about putting them ahead the good receivers who are right at the tail ends of their careers – Larry Fitzgerald, Julian Edelman, Demaryius Thomas, etc.

Two big-name wide receivers moved this week, and I’m guessing I’m lower than most on both of them. I’ve got Josh Gordon and Jordan Matthews 70th and 74th.

DYNASTY LEAGUE WIDE RECEIVERS
RkTmPlayerAge
1.HOUDeAndre Hopkins26
2.NOMichael Thomas25
3.NYGOdell Beckham25
4.KCTyreek Hill24
5.PITAntonio Brown30
6.GBDavante Adams25
7.TBMike Evans25
8.PITJuJu Smith-Schuster21
9.MINStefon Diggs24
10.CINA.J. Green30
11.OAKAmari Cooper24
12.INDT.Y. Hilton28
13.ATLJulio Jones29
14.LARBrandin Cooks24
15.TENCorey Davis23
16.LACKeenan Allen26
17.MINAdam Thielen28
18.CLEJarvis Landry25
19.HOUWill Fuller24
20.LARCooper Kupp25
21.DETKenny Golladay24
22.NYGSterling Shepard24
23.SEADoug Baldwin30
24.PHINelson Agholor25
25.CARDevin Funchess24
26.LARRobert Woods26
27.DETGolden Tate30
28.ATL• Calvin Ridley23
29.DETMarvin Jones28
30.CAR• D.J. Moore21
31.DENEmmanuel Sanders31
32.MIAKenny Stills26
33.SFMarquise Goodwin27
34.PHIAlshon Jeffery28
35.CHIAllen Robinson25
36.BALJohn Brown28
37.LACMike Williams23
38.NYJQuincy Enunwa26
39.GBGeronimo Allison24
40.ARI• Christian Kirk21
41.TBChris Godwin22
42.JACKeelan Cole25
43.CLE• Antonio Calloway21
44.KCSammy Watkins25
45.SEATyler Lockett25
46.DEN• Courtland Sutton22
47.NO• TreQuan Smith22
48.CHI• Anthony Miller23
49.NEChris Hogan29
50.ARILarry Fitzgerald35
51.NEJulian Edelman32
52.JACDede Westbrook24
53.NYJRobby Anderson25
54.BUFKelvin Benjamin27
55.PIT• James Washington22
56.CINJohn Ross22
57.MIADeVante Parker25
58.LACTyrell Williams26
59.DAL• Michael Gallup22
60.NEPhillip Dorsett25
61.WASPaul Richardson26
62.DENDemaryius Thomas30
63.BALMichael Crabtree31
64.WASJamison Crowder25
65.TBDeSean Jackson31
66.GBRandall Cobb28
67.NOTed Ginn33
68.WASJosh Doctson25
69.CINTyler Boyd23
70.NEJosh Gordon27
71.JACDonte Moncrief25
72.SF• Dante Pettis22
73.TENTaywan Taylor23
74.PHIJordan Matthews26
75.SEABrandon Marshall34
76.BUFZay Jones23
77.INDRyan Grant27
78.TENRishard Matthews28
79.CLERashard Higgins23
80.MIADanny Amendola32
81.ATLMohamed Sanu29
82.HOUBruce Ellington27
83.SFPierre Garcon32
84.OAKJordy Nelson33
85.DALCole Beasley29
86.CHITaylor Gabriel27
87.NYJTerrelle Pryor29
88.KCChris Conley25
89.INDChester Rogers24
90.OAKSeth Roberts27
91.DALAllen Hurns26
92.MINLaquon Treadwell23
93.NECordarrelle Patterson27
94.BALWillie Snead25
95.NOCameron Meredith26
96.MIAAlbert Wilson26
97.NYJJermaine Kearse28
98.DALTavon Austin27
99.TENTajae Sharpe23
100.ARIJ.J. Nelson26

—Ian Allan

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