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Factoid

Pass-catching RBs

49ers are the best at taking away dumpoff balls

The 49ers did a remarkably good job of shutting down Dalvin Cook last week, especially in the passing game. He caught 6 passes, but they resulted in only 8 yards. That kind of a ratio is rare.

I was poking around with the search tools at Pro Football Reference. They show that in the Super Bowl era, only four times has a player caught at least 6 passes and averaged fewer yards per reception.

Two of those, oddly, also came in the 2019 season. What are the odds of that? I suppose teams are passing more, making more 6-catch games likely. But it seems that more defenses have a better feel of how to take away a running back in the passing game.

In the Super Bowl era, I see only 54 players who caught at least 6 passes and averaged fewer than 3 yards per reception. That’s an average of once per year. Six of those players came form 2019. Only two seasons had 4 such players (1980, 1995), and only two had 3 (2003, 2018). So only 45 of those players in 52 years, and now 9 in the last two seasons.

AVERAGING UNDER 3 YARDS PER CATCH
PlayerYearOppResultNoYdsAvgTD
• Kenyan Drake, ARI2019at TAML 27-30661.000
Jamaal Charles, KAN2013at BUFW 23-13661.000
• Boston Scott, PHI2019DALW 17-9671.170
T.J. Yeldon, JAX2016at SDGL 14-388101.250
Dalvin Cook, MIN2019at SFOL 10-27681.330
LaDainian Tomlinson, SDG2003at PITL 24-40681.330
Adrian Murrell, NYJ1995NORL 0-129121.330
Jess Phillips, CIN1970KANL 19-27681.330
David Johnson, ARI2018DETL 3-178121.500
Eric Dickerson, RAM1983at WASL 7-51691.500
Todd Gurley, LAR2018at NORL 35-456111.830
DeAngelo Williams, CAR2007INDL 7-316111.830
Chris Perry, CIN2005PITL 17-316111.830
Michael Bennett, MIN2005at NYGW 24-216111.830
Mike Pruitt, CLE1980at CINW 27-246111.830
Ty Montgomery, GNB2017CINW 27-248151.880
Justin Forsett, BAL2016at JAXW 19-176122.000
Frank Gore, SFO2009JAXW 20-37142.001
Bernie Parmalee, MIA1995at NYJL 16-176122.000
Emmitt Smith, DAL1995at MINW 23-176122.000
Norm Bulaich, MIA1976KANL 17-206122.000
• Tarik Cohen, CHI2019NORL 25-369192.110
LaDainian Tomlinson, SDG2003OAKW 21-148172.130
• Kenyan Drake, ARI2019at SFOL 26-366132.170
Harold Green, CIN1995CHIW 16-106132.170
Albert Bentley, IND1989CLEW 23-176132.170
Franco Harris, PIT1976at CLEL 16-186132.170
Tarik Cohen, CHI2017at MINL 10-236142.330
Glyn Milburn, DEN1994ATLW 32-286142.330
Clinton Portis, WAS2004GNBL 14-287172.430
James Jones, OAK2014DENL 17-418202.500
Raymont Harris, CHI1997MINL 24-276152.500
Tony Galbreath, NOR1978HOUL 12-177182.570
Gerry Ellis, GNB1980TAML 17-208212.630
Javon Ringer, TEN2011at PITL 17-386162.670
Emmitt Smith, DAL1996GNBW 21-66162.670
Anthony Toney, PHI1987at NYGL 20-236162.670
Paul Coffman, GNB1982at NYJL 13-156162.670
Charles Alexander, CIN1980at OAKL 17-286162.670
Tony Galbreath, NOR1979NYGW 24-146162.670
Rickey Young, MIN1978TAML 10-166162.670
Keith Byars, PHI1991at HOUW 13-67192.710
Dalvin Cook, MIN2018at NWEL 10-248222.750
• Mike Davis, CHI2019GNBL 3-106172.830
Earnest Graham, TAM2007TENW 13-106172.830
Barry Sanders, DET1998ARIL 15-176172.830
Terrell Davis, DEN1997SEAW 30-276172.830
Wilbert Montgomery, PHI1980at MINW 42-76172.830
Dave Kopay, WAS1970at DALL 0-346172.830
Ken Willard, SFO1966BALL 14-306172.830
Richie Anderson, DAL2003at CARL 10-297202.860
Adrian Murrell, ARI1999WASL 10-247202.860
Matt Forte, CHI2014at MINL 9-138232.880
LaDainian Tomlinson, SDG2002at KANL 22-249262.890

The 49ers are back in action today, and defending pass-catching running backs will be a factor. Green Bay likes to use the dumpoff pass in its offense. Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams in the regular season combined to catch 88 passes for 727 yards and 8 TDs. That’s an unusually high number of touchdown catches for running backs.

But the 49ers have been effectively against pass-catching running backs. Not just last week, but for the entire season. They’re one of only two teams that didn’t allow a touchdown pass to a running back all year.

Opposing running backs this year caught 62 passes for 398 yards against the 49ers. That’s on 85 attempts. Only two defenses allowed fewer completions to running backs, and only one allowed fewer yards (Carolina, which was allowing teams to run the ball down it’s throats). San Francisco allowed 4.7 yards per pass play against backs, 2nd-best in the league.

In this type of deal, I like to look at comps, seeing how the defense performed against similar kinds of backs. In my eyes, San Francisco played against good pass catching backs five times. There was Cook last week; they passed that test. Christian McCaffrey caught 4 passes for 38 yards against them – way below his usual numbers. There was that high-scoring shootout in the Superdome; Alvin Kamara caught 4 passes for only 18 yards in that game. And Devonta Freeman caught only 2 passes for 16 yards at San Francisco in December.

Green Bay played at Santa Clara earlier in the year, of course. Jones on that was saw only 1 pass attempt, and it fell incomplete. Williams caught 7 of the 8 balls thrown his way, but they went for only 35 yards – lots of catches, but not much actual production.

I don’t expect to see many plays today where the Packers are able to scheme Jones or Williams into being wide open for big receptions.

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index