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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Lions holding sleeper wide receiver

I like Amon-Ra St. Brown. He’s just a fourth-round pick and is playing for what should be one of the worst teams in the league, but I think he’s got a good chance to be Detroit’s leading receiver.

The Lions don’t have much else at wide receiver. Tyrell Williams and Breshad Perriman are their highest-profile veteran receives, but I don’t think either would be a starter on most NFL teams.

St. Brown doesn’t have eye-poping size or speed, but he was very productive at Southern Cal. He caught 77 passes for 1,042 yards and 6 TDs as a sophomore. He played in only six games last year but caught 41 passes for 478 yards and 7 TDs. There were five wide receivers drafted in the first round, but I think there’s a decent chance he’ll catch more passes than most of those guys. And I would expect he’ll catch more balls than all five of the wide receivers picked in the second round.

At the same time, I will concede that it’s rare for a wide receiver chosen in the fourth round to make much of an impact as a rookie. In the last 20 years, only 11 wide receivers picked after the third round have finished with top-50 PPR numbers in their first year. Another 10 have finished with top-60 stats.

(Four of those wide receivers weren’t drafted at all, and they’re tagged with black dots.)

I like St. Brown as a late-round gamble.

LESS-HERALDED ROOKIE WIDE RECEIVERS
YearPlayerRecYdsAvgTDPPRRk
2010Mike Williams, T.B. (4)6596414.811227.416
2006Marques Colston, N.O. (7)701,03814.88221.816
2016Tyreek Hill, K.C. (5)615939.712219.018
2019Darius Slayton, NYG (5)4874015.48170.037
2009Austin Collie, Ind. (4)6067611.37169.729
2014• Allen Hurns, Jac. (FA)5167713.36154.749
2011• Doug Baldwin, Sea. (FA)5178815.54153.642
2020Darnell Mooney, Chi. (5)6163110.34152.150
2015Stefon Diggs, Min. (5)5272013.94149.347
2013• Marlon Brown, Balt. (FA)4952410.77145.248
2011Denarius Moore, Oak. (5)3361818.76136.951
2020Gabriel Davis, Buff. (4)3559917.17136.957
2015Jamison Crowder, Was. (4)5960410.22135.651
2017• Keelan Cole, Jac. (FA)4274817.83134.848
2018Antonio Callaway, Cle. (4)4358613.65134.354
2009Johnny Knox, Chi. (5)4552711.76133.751
2019Hunter Renfrow, Oak. (5)4960512.44133.555
2012Chris Givens, St.L. (4)4269816.63133.057
2010Jacoby Ford, Oak. (4)2547018.87129.556
2013Kenny Stills, N.O. (5)3264120.05127.156
2016Malcolm Mitchell, N.E. (4)3240112.5496.150

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index