Around the NFL

May 31, 2022

Jameis Winston

Feast or famine with Saints starter

Report out of Saints OTAs has Jameis Winston moving with a noticeable limp at practices. It's not surprising, with Winston having torn his ACL midseason last year, but it's an update that casts doubt on him being some kind of 2022 sleeper. As does his 2021 production.

I understand the sentiment that perhaps he could be a value on draft day. The guy threw for 5,109 yards back in 2019, something that isn't talked about nearly as much as his 30 interceptions that season. Maybe that kind of production is still hidden in Winston's arm, and he could deliver some solid numbers this season. The Saints should have a dramatically improved receiving corps over last season, assuming a return to health of Michael Thomas, and having added Jarvis Landry in free agency and Chris Olave in the draft.

But I think 2019 is a long time ago. In 2021, Winston was one of the least productive passers in the NFL. Lesser receiving corps, sure, but that wasn't all of it. The Saints didn't want him throwing the ball much, and it requires a leap of faith to think it will be much different this year. Even if he's healthy.

Table shows passing yards per game for all quarterbacks with at least 150 pass attempts in Winston's last two seasons as a starter (2019 in Tampa, 2021 in New Orleans). That earlier version of Winston was the most productive of all the quarterbacks that show up on the list. The more recent Winston is down with Duck Hodges, Jacoby Brissett, and a couple of dual-threat quarterbacks (Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, Tyler Huntley). With Winston coming off the torn ACL, I think we can safely say his running days are over.

PASSING YARDS PER GAME, 2019 AND 2021
Year	Player	G	Com	Att	Yds	TD	Int	Yds/G
2019	Jameis Winston, T.B.	16	380	626	5109	33	30	319.3
2021	Tom Brady, T.B.	17	485	719	5316	43	12	312.7
2019	Matthew Stafford, Det.	8	187	291	2499	19	5	312.4
2019	Dak Prescott, Dall.	16	388	596	4902	30	11	306.4
2019	Matt Ryan, Atl.	15	408	616	4466	26	14	297.7
2021	Justin Herbert, LAC	17	443	672	5014	38	15	294.9
2019	Jared Goff, LAR	16	394	626	4638	22	16	289.9
2019	Philip Rivers, LAC	16	390	591	4615	23	20	288.4
2021	Joe Burrow, Cin.	16	366	520	4611	34	14	288.2
2019	Patrick Mahomes, K.C.	14	319	484	4031	26	5	287.9
2021	Matthew Stafford, LAR	17	404	601	4886	41	17	287.4
2021	Patrick Mahomes, K.C.	17	436	658	4839	37	13	284.6
2021	Derek Carr, L.V.	17	428	626	4804	23	14	282.6
2021	Dak Prescott, Dall.	16	410	596	4449	37	10	278.1
2019	Drew Brees, N.O.	11	281	378	2979	27	4	270.8
2021	Kyler Murray, Ariz.	14	333	481	3787	24	10	270.5
2019	Andy Dalton, Cin.	13	314	528	3494	16	14	268.8
2021	Kirk Cousins, Min.	16	372	561	4221	33	7	263.8
2021	Josh Allen, Buff.	17	409	646	4407	36	15	259.2
2021	Aaron Rodgers, G.B.	16	366	531	4115	37	4	257.2
2019	Russell Wilson, Sea.	16	341	516	4110	31	5	256.9
2019	Deshaun Watson, Hou.	15	333	495	3852	26	12	256.8
2019	Kyle Allen, Car.	13	303	489	3322	17	16	255.5
2021	Jimmy Garoppolo, S.F.	15	301	441	3810	20	12	254.0
2019	Tom Brady, N.E.	16	373	613	4057	24	8	253.6
2019	Derek Carr, Oak.	16	361	513	4054	21	8	253.4
2019	Carson Wentz, Phil.	16	388	607	4039	27	7	252.4
2019	Aaron Rodgers, G.B.	16	353	569	4002	26	4	250.1
2019	Jimmy Garoppolo, S.F.	16	329	476	3978	27	13	248.6
2019	Kirk Cousins, Min.	15	307	444	3603	26	6	240.2
2021	Lamar Jackson, Balt.	12	246	382	2882	16	13	240.2
2019	Baker Mayfield, Cle.	16	317	534	3827	22	21	239.2
2019	Ryan Fitzpatrick, Mia.	15	311	502	3529	20	13	235.3
2021	Ben Roethlisberger, Pitt.	16	390	605	3740	22	10	233.8
2019	Gardner Minshew, Jac.	14	285	470	3271	21	6	233.6
2021	Matt Ryan, Atl.	17	375	560	3968	20	12	233.4
2019	Daniel Jones, NYG	13	284	459	3027	24	12	232.8
2019	Kyler Murray, Ariz.	16	349	542	3722	20	12	232.6
2019	Sam Darnold, NYJ	13	273	441	3024	19	13	232.6
2021	Jared Goff, Det.	14	332	494	3245	19	8	231.8
2019	Ryan Tannehill, Ten.	12	201	286	2742	22	6	228.5
2019	Joe Flacco, Den.	8	171	262	1822	6	5	227.8
2021	Mac Jones, N.E.	17	352	521	3801	22	13	223.6
2021	Russell Wilson, Sea.	14	259	400	3113	25	6	222.4
2021	Daniel Jones, NYG	11	232	361	2428	10	7	220.7
2021	Ryan Tannehill, Ten.	17	357	531	3734	21	14	219.6
2021	Teddy Bridgewater, Den.	14	285	426	3052	18	7	218.0
2021	Baker Mayfield, Cle.	14	253	418	3010	17	13	215.0
2021	Trevor Lawrence, Jac.	17	359	602	3641	12	17	214.2
2021	Taylor Heinicke, Was.	16	321	494	3419	20	15	213.7
2021	Sam Darnold, Car.	12	243	406	2527	9	13	210.6
2021	Jalen Hurts, Phil.	15	265	432	3144	16	9	209.6
2021	Carson Wentz, Ind.	17	322	516	3563	27	7	209.6
2019	Mitchell Trubisky, Chi.	15	326	516	3138	17	10	209.2
2019	Lamar Jackson, Balt.	15	265	401	3127	36	6	208.5
2021	Davis Mills, Hou.	13	263	394	2664	16	10	204.9
2021	Tua Tagovailoa, Mia.	13	263	388	2653	16	10	204.1
2019	Drew Lock, Den.	5	100	156	1020	7	3	204.0
2019	David Blough, Det.	5	94	174	984	4	6	196.8
2019	Jacoby Brissett, Ind.	15	272	447	2942	18	6	196.1
2019	Josh Allen, Buff.	16	271	461	3089	20	9	193.1
2021	Trevor Siemian, N.O.	6	108	188	1154	11	3	192.3
2021	Andy Dalton, Chi.	8	149	236	1515	8	9	189.4
2021	Zach Wilson, NYJ	13	213	383	2334	9	11	179.5
2019	Mason Rudolph, Pitt.	10	176	283	1765	13	9	176.5
2019	Marcus Mariota, Ten.	7	95	160	1203	7	2	171.9
2019	Case Keenum, Was.	10	160	247	1707	11	5	170.7
2021	Jameis Winston, N.O.	7	95	161	1170	14	3	167.1
2021	Tyrod Taylor, Hou.	6	91	150	966	5	5	161.0
2021	Justin Fields, Chi.	12	159	270	1870	7	10	155.8
2021	Tyler Huntley, Balt.	7	122	188	1081	3	4	154.4
2019	Teddy Bridgewater, N.O.	9	133	196	1384	9	2	153.8
2019	Dwayne Haskins, Was.	9	119	203	1365	7	7	151.7
2019	Devlin Hodges, Pitt.	8	100	160	1063	5	8	132.9
2021	Mike Glennon, NYG	6	90	167	790	4	10	131.7
2021	Jacoby Brissett, Mia.	11	141	225	1283	5	4	116.6

I don't think there's much chance of the Dennis Allen-led Saints being anything remotely close to the Bruce Arians Bucs, even assuming Winston is fully healthy. Not a late-round quarterback I'll be considering, and I don't think I'll be throwing darts at any of the receivers, either.

--Andy Richardson

Jameis Winston

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