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Ask the Experts

Who should be the top pick in a playoff fantasy league?

Allen, Mahomes competing here too

ASK THE EXPERTS appears weekly from training camp through the Super Bowl with answers to a new question being posted Thursday morning. How the guest experts responded when we asked them: Imagining one draft for the entire postseason, who should be the top pick in a playoff fantasy league?

SCOTT SACHS

If in a draft where you must take only one player per team throughout the playoffs, I like to pick the best player not on a bye from a team that I think will make it to the Super Bowl. Josh Allen is my choice as I believe Buffalo has destiny on their side. Allen's running abilities along with his passing are a potent one-two punch recipe for fantasy success. Additionally, I think his recent rash of red-zone interceptions will disappear, making him even more reliable and valuable.

With 2 perfect seasons and multiple league championships to his credit, Sachs runs Perfect Season Fantasy Football, featuring LIVE Talk & Text Advice. He is a 3-time Winner of the Fantasy Index Experts Auction League, as well as a previous Winner of the Fantasy Index Experts Poll.

JASON WOOD

The key to winning a playoff league is getting the games played right. Having an elite player who loses in the wild card round doesn’t help as much as having a mediocre player who plays three games. With that said, the top pick should be Jalen Hurts. The Eagles are favored to win the NFC and his rushing upside gives him the slightest edge over Patrick Mahomes in a 4-point passing TD format.

Wood is Senior Editor at Footballguys.com and has been with the company since its start in 2000. For more than 20 years, Footballguys has provided rankings, projections, and analysis to help fantasy managers dominate their leagues.

IAN ALLAN

Formats vary, but I would give some thought to selecting Christian McCaffrey No. 1 overall. That pick might allow you to also select Brock Purdy. If you had McCaffrey and Purdy, you should be in good shape if the 49ers were to advance to the Super Bowl game. I think they’re a pretty safe choice to win their first two playoff games, so you would probably just need for them to win at Philadelphia in the NFC title game. That would give you a four-game running back and a four-game quarterback.

Allan co-founded Fantasy Football Index in 1987. He and fellow journalism student Bruce Taylor launched the first newsstand fantasy football magazine as a class project at the University of Washington. For more than three decades, Allan has written and edited most of the content published in the magazines, newsletters and at www.fantasyindex.com. An exhaustive researcher, he may be the only person in the country who has watched at least some of every preseason football game played since the early 1990s. Allan is a member of the FSTA Fantasy Sports Hall of Fame and the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Hall of Fame.

DAVID DOREY

It's a clear two-man race for my money - Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes. And considering that Kansas City's defense is one of the weakest in the playoffs and encourages shootouts, I'd have to stick with Mahomes. He's less likely to have bad weather than Buffalo and figured out how to compensate for losing Tyreek Hill. He's even better since there are more players that need coverage now.

Dorey co-founded The Huddle.com in 1997. He's ranked every player and projected every game for the last 23 years and is the author of Fantasy Football: The Next Level. David has appeared on numerous radio, television, newspaper and magazines over the last two decades.

SAM HENDRICKS

Josh Allen. Why? Because quarterback generally scores the most points and I believe Allen and the Bills will make it to the Super Bowl. So he should play 4 games. Josh provides more value with his 25 fantasy point projection which is almost 5 points more than the nearest quarterback and a few points above the other positions' inequalities.

Hendricks is the author of Fantasy Football Guidebook, Fantasy Football Tips and Fantasy Football Basics, all available at ExtraPointPress.com, at all major bookstores, and at Amazon and BN.com. He is a 30-year fantasy football veteran who participated in the National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC) and finished 7th and 16th overall in the 2008 and 2009 Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC). He won the Fantasy Index Open in 2013 and 2018.

MICHAEL NAZAREK

Patrick Mahomes. The most dangerous scoring quarterback in the league... period.

Nazarek is the CEO of Fantasy Football Mastermind Inc, celebrating 25 years online! His company offers a preseason draft guide, customizable cheat sheets, a multi-use fantasy drafting program including auction values, weekly in-season newsletters, injury reports and free NFL news (updated daily) at its web site, www.ffmastermind.com. He has been playing fantasy football since 1988 and is a four-peat champion of the SI.com Experts Fantasy League, a nationally published writer in several fantasy magazines and a former columnist for SI.com. He's also won nearly $30K in recent seasons of the FFPC High Stakes Main Event. Nazarek can be reached via email at miken@ffmastermind.com.

ANDY RICHARDSON

The tricky part is there are three AFC teams who I think could reasonably go to the Super Bowl. How invested do I want to be in the Bills knowing they need to beat the Bengals and K.C. to get there? (That's the underrated importance of the No. 1 seed in the AFC -- not the bye or home field, but the knowledge that you only have to face one of the 2-3 teams, who will be in a battle with each other in the divisional round while you host a flawed Jaguar 0r Charger team.) In contrast, I feel really good about San Francisco winning its first two games, and maybe even the third. So I'm going with Christian McCaffrey, who might be the lead back on a great running team all four weeks of the postseason.

Richardson has been a contributing writer and editor to the Fantasy Football Index magazine and www.fantasyindex.com since 2002. His responsibilities include team defense and IDP projections and various site features, and he has run the magazine's annual experts draft and auction leagues since their inception. He previews all the NFL games on Saturdays and writes a wrap-up column on Mondays during the NFL season.

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