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Factoid

Falling wide receivers

Franklin, Baker fall in deep class

It was a strong class of wide receivers coming out of college, as evidenced by seven being selected in the first round. But the negative (for some players) is that the wealth of talent available probably factored into some guys falling out of the top 3 rounds.

Oregon star Troy Franklin (pictured) is one example, slipping to the Broncos in the fourth round. Central Florida's Javon Baker went to the Patriots a few picks later, and he was steamed about it having to wait that long, calling to mind Terrell Owens as he delivered one of the more memorable quotes from the weekend: "As I like to tell y’all. Bring your popcorn. I make people in wheelchairs stand up."

The explosive Franklin put up big numbers for the Ducks in college's top passing offense, seemingly on track to be at least a second-round pick. But he fell to the fourth, perhaps a combination of being on the lean side (6-2 but just 176 pounds) and -- according to NFL Network chat during the draft -- not impressing with his route-running at the combine. But he goes to a Broncos team with nothing much established behind contract-year veteran Courtland Sutton, and he'll be working with his college quarterback, Bo Nix.

Baker wasn't as highly regarded but last season was awfully impressive. He put up 1,139 yards on just 52 receptions -- that's nearly 22 yards per catch. But he was mostly a straight-line route-runner in UCF's offense and then ran a 4.54 at the combine. The Patriots drafted him two full rounds after Ja'Lynn Polk. I watch his highlights, though, and I see a competitive guy who will take balls away from defenders; he's got some dog in him, as they say (as his post-draft quotes suggest). We can find plenty of examples of guys drafted later by the same team outperforming the one drafted first, and perhaps this will be another one.

Regardless of these specific players, a reminder that falling to the fourth or fifth round is hardly evidence that a player can't emerge as a top wideout. It's happened plenty in recent years.

Fourteen different wide receivers drafted in the fourth or fifth rounds in the past decade have had at least one top-40 fantasy season. Two of those guys have been among the league's very best wideouts since entering the league: Tyreek Hill and Stefon Diggs. Amon-Ra St. Brown has entered that class in his three seasons, and after setting a couple of long-standing rookie records, Puka Nacua might join him. No reason to think that guys like Franklin and Baker couldn't be next.

Table shows all the top-40 seasons (PPR) from wide receivers selected in the fourth and fifth rounds since 2014.

4TH- AND 5TH-ROUND WRS IN TOP 40, 2014-2023
RdYearPlayerTgtNoRecTDRk
52023Tyreek Hill, Mia.1711191799132
52022Tyreek Hill, Mia.170119171092
52020Tyreek Hill, K.C.135871276172
52018Tyreek Hill, K.C.137871479142
52020Stefon Diggs, Buff.166127153583
42023Amon-Ra St. Brown, Det.1641191515103
52023Puka Nacua, LAR160105148664
52022Stefon Diggs, Buff.1541081429114
52021Tyreek Hill, K.C.159111123996
52021Stefon Diggs, Buff.1641031225107
42022Amon-Ra St. Brown, Det.146106116167
52017Tyreek Hill, K.C.10575118388
52023Stefon Diggs, Buff.160107118389
52021Hunter Renfrow, L.V.1281031038910
52018Stefon Diggs, Min.1491021021910
52016Tyreek Hill, K.C.83615931218
52017Stefon Diggs, Min.9564849819
52019Stefon Diggs, Min.94631130621
42021Amon-Ra St. Brown, Det.11990912622
52021Darnell Mooney, Chi.140811055524
42016Jamison Crowder, Was.9967847825
42019Jamison Crowder, NYJ12278833626
42018Dede Westbrook, Jac.10166717630
52016Stefon Diggs, Min.11284903331
42017Jamison Crowder, Was.10366789332
52019Tyreek Hill, K.C.8958860733
42022Gabe Davis, Buff.9348836735
52019Darius Slayton, NYG8448740837
42023Romeo Doubs, G.B.9659674837
42020Jamison Crowder, NYJ8959699639
42015Martavis Bryant, Pitt.9250765739
52021K.J. Osborn, Min.8250655740

I've got my rookie draft coming up at the end of this week, and I'll preview it (and post results) later. But my initial thought is that the depth of talent at wide receiver makes me as content to have more picks rather than higher ones. If I can't get one of the three guys selected in the top 10 on Thursday night, I'd rather have more bites of the apple of the other first- and second-rounders. And third-, fourth- and fifth-rounders, too.

--Andy Richardson

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