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Xavier Legette

Panthers may finally have gotten it right at wide receiver

That was an interesting three-way battle involving Kansas City, Carolina and Buffalo at the end of the first round of the draft. All three teams selected wide receivers, and all did so after trading with each other. Xavier Worthy, Xavier Legette and Keon Coleman will be compared for the duration of their careers.

My leaning, after watching all of the passes thrown to those guys last year, is that Carolina looks like the favorite to emerge as the winner of this group. Legette to me looks like the kind of guy where people might be looking back in a couple of years, wondering how he made it to the final pick of the round.

If we look at just the 10 best plays for each guy last year, Legette was definitely the most impressive. I see more ability to adjust and track long balls, including three where he high-pointed the ball over a defender who had him covered. And I saw a couple of catches where he turned on the jets after the ball was in his hands, pulling away for 75-yard touchdowns. I saw another couple plays where he carried defenders for 7 and 10 yards. (In the play-by-play breakdown at the end of this article, I have tagged with black dots the plays you’ll want to look closely at.)

There have been a bunch of large, physical receivers that have come out of South Carolina, with Sterling Sharpe, Deebo Samuel and Alshon Jeffery leading the way, and Legette last year looked like a worthy addition to that group. There’s some Terrell Owens and Brandon Marshall in his game.

With these three 2024 receivers, Legette is arguably the No. 1 guy physically. The Panthers have him listed at 6-foot-3 and 227 pounds, and he ran 4.39 at the combine. Coleman has similar size (6-4, 215) but ran only 4.61 at the combine. (There were a couple of long Legette touchdowns last year that would not have occurred had we teleported Coleman into the situation.)

(Note: sizes on those guys were a little different at the combine, with Legette measured 2 inches shorter and 6 pounds lighter, and Coleman measuring 1 inch shorter and 2 pounds lighter.)

Worthy is a different flavor of receiver. He ran the record 4.21 at the combine but measures only 5-foot-11 and 165 pounds. With the speed, you might think Worthy would be the best deep threat of these guys, but size is also a factor on those plays, providing the QB with a bigger target, and with more ability to win in contested situations. On plays where the receiver was trying to make the catch at least 20 yards downfield last year, Worthy caught only 6 of 21 passes, with just one touchdown. Legette went 10 of 20 on those plays, with 3 TDs.

I’ve looked at a half dozen of these second-tier receivers in the last week, and Legette has been by far the best at high-pointing long balls. Almost too much. There was at least one I saw where he could have made the catch without going airborne (gaining a lot more yards). It reminded me of Terry Glenn; I remember him doing that a bunch, turning some long touchdowns into long non-scoring receptions.

Carolina has a pair of other receivers who’ve had 100-catch seasons, Diontae Johnson and Adam Thielen. With their experience, I suppose there will be areas where they’ll be running ahead of Legette for now. Especially Johnson (Thielen is getting long in the tooth). But I expect it won’t take many practices this summer before they figure out that Legette is a lot better than Johnson or Thielen at winning in contested situations on long throws. Some players are good at that – Mike Williams, Mike Evans – and Legette has some of that.

Carolina was sitting at 33 and decided to give up the 141st pick to move up a spot. It could have stood pat and settled for Coleman or hoped Legette lasted one more pick, but it didn’t want to do that. It believes Legette is better.

The Panthers have fired a couple of second-round picks on wide receivers in recent years and haven’t gotten much out of either (Jonathan Mingo and Terrace Marshall). But neither of those guys coming in were prospects on par with Legette.

In the last week, I have taken deep dives on three other receivers – Roman Wilson, Ladd McConkey, Ricky Pearsall. McConkey has the interesting situation, with the possibility of leading his team in receiving as a rookie. But Legette (to me) looks like he’s physically way ahead of all of those guys – a big, fast, playmaker kind of guy who can do things a lot of receivers can’t. While Pearsall was picked before Legette, I have to believe that the vast majority of NFL teams had Legette higher on their boards.

While I love Legette’s upside, it makes sense to also run down some of his flaws. He wasn’t much of a factor in his first four years at South Carolina (just 18 catches as a junior, and under 10 in his other three seasons). He’s 23, so perhaps closer to his ceiling as a player.

As a larger guy, he’s not sudden. He needs to build up a head of steam. He’s not quick or elusive. If we look just at the short, quick throws at the line of scrimmage, Worthy was a lot better in those situations at using his speed and elusive to unexpectedly get around the edge when he was seemingly pinned down. For Legette, a lot of those plays didn’t result in much. He averaged over a catch less per play on those catches.

On the boo-boo report, I saw one concentration drop and a couple of other throws where he perhaps should have come down with the ball. (Should we give him half of a drop on those?) His worst miscue came on a swing pass (that wasn’t a pass) against Clemson; he dropped it, and it got scooped for a 42-yard touchdown the other way.

But I like Legette. While both Worthy and Coleman are going to teams with better quarterbacks, my leaning today is that Legette will wind up being the best of these three receivers.

For the stats below, their unofficial (tabulated off the cutups on YouTube). I’m missing 10 of Legette’s catches. I know that includes 7 from the Jacksonville State game, but with that being a smaller school, I didn’t bother trying to run those down. And there were a couple of sideways passes that may have been runs rather than catches (and versa-vice).

In the “range” column of table, I’m separating the stats based on how far downfield Legette was when the ball showed up, with “BLOS” = behind the line of scrimmage, “short” = 0-9 yards, “medium” = 10-19 yards and “long” = 20-plus.

XAVIER LEGETTE RECEIVING BREAKDOWN
RangeTgtNoYdsAvgTDYAC
BLOS1414664.70121
short262022011.01127
medium312036418.2375
long201045745.73104
Total9164110717.37427
Official--74125517.02--
XAVIER LEGETTE 2023 PLAYS
Opp.TgtNoYdsRangeComment
North Carolina11-3BLOSaborted gadget play
North Carolina1117mediummiddle of field
North Carolina1137long• high-points bomb over defender
North Carolina1130medium• carries defender for extra 7 yards
North Carolina116shortscoops low throw for 6
North Carolina1132long• high-points bomb over defender
North Carolina100longcovered, bomb, throw OOB
North Carolina1114shorteasy catch with cushion, 8 YAC
North Carolina118shortunderneath on 4th&19 doesn’t work
North Carolina1112mediumleaping catch just behind sticks
North Carolina1122shortshort flip late against prevent D
North Carolina1111shortcatch on sideline late in 14-pt loss
North Carolina100longball bounces as it gets to him
North Carolina100longball over his head at goal line, 4&21
Furham117BLOScatches swing pass 6 yds behind LOS
Furham115shortheaded to sideline, can't get free
Furham116shortcatches on his knees
Furham11-2BLOSswing pass, can't shake free
Furham115shortcatch on sideline converts 4th&2
Furham1154long• high-points after adjusting for throw
Furham100longwell covered on 22 att into end zone
Furham1142long• hand-fighting on 42 TD on 3rd&8
at Georgia1118medium• high catch v. tight coverage on sideline
at Georgia110BLOSswing pass, battles back to LOS
at Georgia1114mediumstops for catch, no YAC
at Georgia11-2BLOSquick outside, can't get going
at Georgia11-3BLOSquick outside, can't get going
at Georgia117shortleaping catch on high throw
at Georgia1135long• high-points bomb (but didn't have to)
at Georgia100mediumcovered, high throw broken up
at Georgia113BLOSquick throw doesn't net much
at Georgia100mediumcovered, ball thrown OOB
at Georgia100shortslant, covered, looks like a drop (probably)
Mississippi St.1176short• burst turns shallow cross into long TD
Mississippi St.1114mediumstops for high catch on sideline
Mississippi St.004runjet sweep for 4
Mississippi St.117shortleaping catch with guys in the vicinity
Mississippi St.1175long• 33-yd bomb; pulls away for 75 TD
Mississippi St.1117BLOSlesser WR might have got half as much
at Tennessee111shortcrossing route on 3rd&4, stopped
at Tennessee008runaborted gadget play, crossfield for 8
at Tennessee113shortcrossing route, adds 3 YAC
at Tennessee100mediumDB has better chance at lob into end zone
at Tennessee1132longfake punt, wide open
at Tennessee111shortcan't get to the edge on 4th&2
at Tennessee100mediumcovered on off-target 13 yd att
at Tennessee1116mediumleaping catch, muscles for 3 YAC
Florida119BLOSpop pass, works through traffic
Florida1153medium• 53-yd catch and run (nullified, I think)
Florida1113mediummiddle of field, DB on his back, no YAC
Florida1146long• high-points bomb over defender
Florida111BLOSpop pass doesn't net much
Florida100longcovered on underthrown bomb; intercepted
at Missouri1120mediumopen in middle of the field, 7 YAC
at Missouri100mediumoff-target throw knocked down. Inj on play
at Texas A&M100mediumopen, but 18-yard att is off target
at Texas A&M11-1BLOSquick throw outside, goes nowhere
at Texas A&M112BLOScatches while speeding to sideline
at Texas A&M100shortConcentration drop on 5-yd slant
at Texas A&M100longContested 24-yd high throw (half drop?)
at Texas A&M1120BLOSquick outside, uses blocks for 22 YAC
Jacksonville St.115mediumwide-open TD. Blown coverage
Jacksonville St.1165longwide-open TD bomb. Lesser competition
Vanderbilt1117mediumopen, leaping catch, middle of field
Vanderbilt100mediumopen, but 13-yd att lands at his feet
Vanderbilt1139longscramble drill, 29-yd bomb, YAC to the 1
Vanderbilt1114mediumsettles down for 14 gain on 2nd&11
Vanderbilt100mediumcovered, off target, intercepted
Vanderbilt100longDB gets hand in on 31-yd att (had a chance)
Vanderbilt100shortbobble eliminates chance of YAC
Vanderbilt117shortopen in middle of field, but bodies rally
Vanderbilt1119mediumopen on sideline
Vanderbilt100longoutfights DB but can't high-point (catchable)
Kentucky119mediumout route for 10 going out of bounds
Kentucky1113mediumwide open for 13-yd TD
Kentucky118shortopen on sideline, picks up 2 YAC
Kentucky100shortslightly off 5-yd TD knocked down by LB
Kentucky00-11runreverses field twice, makes bad play worse
Kentucky100mediumsideline route, off target
Kentucky100longdouble covered on underthrown bomb
Kentucky001runas RB, sweep gets 1 yard
Kentucky1128mediumopen for 19, continues for 9 YAC
Kentucky1118BLOSoutside after play-action, rumbles for YAC
Kentucky1117medium• leaping TD at goal-line vs. 3rd-down blitz
Kentucky00-1runat RB, carries late to drain the clock
Clemson1118mediumout route, decisive strike on first play
Clemson000rundrops lateral pass, 42 fumble return TD
Clemson100longill-advised 41 bomb att is intercepted
Clemson115shortlucky to still after ACL (thrown into tackle)
Clemson113shortthrown better and it's an easy 4-yd TD
Clemson100mediumCovered on 12 att on sideline. Overthrown.
Clemson100shortBounced before it got to him. Open.
Clemson100shortDB arrives on 5 att. Drop or knocked down
Clemson100mediumContested, off target, knocked down
Clemson1117mediumopen, middle of field
Clemson1116short• 10 yds after DB had him wrapped up
Clemson119shortspins/drags DB for extra 5 yards

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index