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Factoid

Is Jalen Milroe a first-round pick?

Alabama passer was prolific runner

Story over the weekend that Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe has been invited to attend the NFL Draft later this month. This was surprising, as I hadn't really considered the possibility of him being a first-round pick.

Clearly I need to give the idea some credence, since the league doesn't tend to bring in college players that don't have a strong possibility of getting drafted in the first round. That's apparently what they're hearing from NFL teams; Milroe has a good chance of being selected either in the first round or certainly by the second.

As a passer, Milroe was nothing special last year. He averaged 219 passing yards, with just 16 touchdown passes in 13 games.

But as a runner, he was one of the most productive college quarterbacks in recent memory. He averaged 56 rushing yards and ran in 20 touchdowns. That's a total achieved by only three other quarterbacks selected in the first or second round of the draft this century; he's one of just five quarterbacks selected that early to run for more than 15 touchdowns their final year of college. You'll definitely recognize all of the other quarterbacks to do it. (Table sorted by rushing touchdowns.)

FINAL COLLEGE SEASON, 1ST- AND 2ND-ROUND QBS, 2000-
YearRdPlayerPassPaTDIntRunRuTD
20111Cam Newton2854307147320
20112Colin Kaepernick3022218120620
20202Jalen Hurts3851328129820
2025?Jalen Milroe2844161172620
20181Lamar Jackson36602710160118
20151Marcus Mariota445442477015
20211Trey Lance2786280110014
20101Tim Tebow289521591014
20091Josh Freeman294520840414
20191Kyler Murray4361427100112
20171Patrick Mahomes5052411028512
20061Vince Young30362610105012
20241Caleb Williams363330514211
20241Jayden Daniels3812404113410
20211Zach Wilson369233325410
20121Robert Griffin III429337669910
20051Alex Smith295232463110
20241Drake Maye36082494499
20231Anthony Richardson25491796549
20171Deshaun Watson459341176299
20141Johnny Manziel411437137599
20211Trevor Lawrence31532492038
20172DeShone Kizer29252694728
20092Pat White18422179748
20011Michael Vick1234866178
20021Joey Harrington2415235567
20161Carson Wentz16511742946
20141Blake Bortles35812592726
20111Jake Locker22651793856
20241Bo Nix45084532346
20112Andy Dalton28572764356
20192Drew Lock34982881756
20072John Beck3885328-86
20061Matt Leinart3815288366
20012Marques Tuiasosopo214614113946
20201Joe Burrow56716063685
20181Baker Mayfield46274363115
20171Mitchell Trubisky37483063085
20181Sam Darnold41432613825
20181Josh Allen18121662045
20211Justin Fields21002263835
20111Blaine Gabbert31861692325
20221Kenny Pickett43194272335
20072Drew Stanton180712104455
20021David Carr4299427975
20012Drew Brees339324125465

I cropped the table at 5 rushing touchdowns, which leaves off 2025's other top prospects -- Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders and Jaxson Dart, each of whom ran for 3-4 TDs.

Milroe gets regularly compared to one of his predecessors at Alabama, Jalen Hurts, who also ran for 20 TDs in his last college season (after transferring to Oklahoma). Hurts also entered the league best known as a prolific runner, but his passing numbers in that final season were a lot better than Milroe's.

Milroe's best game (as a passer) last year was in a 41-34 win over Georgia. He was 27 of 33 for 374 yards and 2 TDs, plus another 117 yards and 2 TDs on the ground. But he struggled in losses at Tennessee and Oklahoma, throwing 1 TD and 5 interceptions in those games, completing only half his passes. The latter loss was the game that kept Alabama out of the College Football Playoff. He wasn't impressive in a narrow win over South Carolina or the Bowl loss to Michigan. It was those games that had me thinking he was more of a Day 2 pick than someone who would be viewed as a franchise quarterback.

But as the other guys at the top of the table prove (Newton, Hurts, Jackson and Kaepernick, for a while anyway), guys can develop. Some teams are breaking down tape and perhaps thinking they can make Milroe into the next Hurts or Jackson.

Seems like people should be thinking of Jackson when considering where Milroe will be selected -- a team trading into the end of the first round to select him, getting that fifth-year option. At 6-2 and 217 pounds, he's about the same size as Jackson, a few pounds lighter than Hurts. Bring him along slowly, like the Eagles did with Hurts, and who knows.

With what he'll do as a runner, a guy who could pay off big in fantasy leagues if he gets into lineups.

--Andy Richardson

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