Fantasy Index

Around the NFL

San Francisco 49ers

Who will be main tight ends in Kelly's offense?

Chip Kelly has taken his talents to San Francisco, and that should be good news for the team's tight ends. Figuring out if one of them will be a solid fantasy starter, or if it's merely the group that will benefit, is the tricky part.

Thus far in camp, both Vance McDonald and Garrett Celek have got first-team work. San Francisco also has second-year tight end Blake Bell as a possibility, and yet another candidate is Bruce Miller, a fullback who's been transitioning to tight end over the course of the spring and summer.

In Kelly's three years running things in Philadelphia (2013-2015), only three teams had more total receiving yards from the tight end position than the Eagles (not surprisingly, the Saints, Patriots and Chargers, all of whom boasted elite tight ends in most of those seasons). Only four teams had more receptions from the position (Saints, Chargers, Washington and Tennessee). That's the kind of offense that's moving to San Francisco.

The 49ers, in those three years, were 18th in tight end yards and 25th in receptions among the NFL's 32 teams. Personnel has something to do with it, of course, but it's reasonable to think San Francisco's players at the position will start putting up better numbers.

Team tight end numbers over the last three years, sorted by yardage, are below. Kelly's old and new teams are in bold.

TIGHT ENDS, TEAM TOTALS, 2013-2015
TeamNoYardsTD
New Orleans331370747
New England263363339
San Diego292346230
Philadelphia269340821
Carolina267323022
Tennessee279316722
Cleveland236299121
Washington286297921
Dallas266277023
St. Louis253274722
Kansas City236271820
Chicago263271619
Indianapolis246269129
Denver242262733
Seattle186242517
Baltimore236241215
Cincinnati242240526
San Francisco184233621
NY Giants234232320
Miami222230918
Minnesota215227215
Pittsburgh210219310
Buffalo191216810
Jacksonville180210917
Green Bay194195621
Arizona166191512
Atlanta196191415
Tampa Bay177191316
Detroit172181219
Houston168180919
Oakland184176916
NY Jets137162812

In Kelly's first year in Philadelphia, stats were split fairly evenly the first season between Zach Ertz and Brent Celek. The two had nearly identical targets, receptions, yards and touchdowns. In Year 2 and 3, Ertz emerged as the key performer at the position, with Celek not as involved in the passing game.

EAGLES TIGHT ENDS, 2013-2015
YearPlayerTgtNoYardsTD
2013Zach Ertz57364694
2013Brent Celek51325026
2014Zach Ertz89587023
2014Brent Celek51323401
2015Zach Ertz112758532
2015Brent Celek35273983

So, we'll see. Would be nice to get one main, breakout tight end in San Francisco this year, but it's also possible that two or three will be involved, with none putting up big numbers.

--Andy Richardson

Fantasy Index