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Defensive Notes

Fiery Gregg Williams

Williams long on emotion, short on ideas

I am not a fan of Gregg Williams. In two of the last three years, we’ve gotten to see his act on Hard Knocks, and it’s apparent he’s not much of a coach. He’s not someone who should be the coordinator of an NFL defense.

Williams is a screamer. As we saw with the Rams in 2016, and as we’re seeing again with this year’s installment in Cleveland, his idea of improving a defense is rip into his troops with F-bomb saturated tirades. ‘That’s f---ing garbage. That’s f---ing unacceptable. You need to f---ing get to the f---ing quarterback or I will f---ing bench your f---ing ass.”

He reminds me of the late R. Lee Ermey, playing Gunnery Sgt. Hartman in Full Metal Jacket.

Williams is just trying to turn up the heat and make people play faster and harder. That’s fine, I suppose. That’s one tool that can be used. But there’s no coaching that’s occurring. There’s no explanation of why breakdowns are occurring or adjustments that need to be made. Williams is putting all of his eggs in the basket that people just need to try harder.

To me, he seems like a bad high school coach.

I pulled out his historical record. The Saints won at least 11 games in all three of his seasons there. (Williams, recall, was the central figure in the BountyGate controversy there.) But 8 of his last 10 other teams where Williams was a defensive coordinator finished with losing records.

GREGG WILLIAMS AS DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR
YearTeamWPts/GRnk
2004Washington 6-1016.65
2005Washington 10-618.39
2006Washington 5-1123.527
2007Washington 9-719.411
2008Jacksonville 5-1122.921
2009New Orleans13-321.320
2010New Orleans11-519.27
2011New Orleans13-321.213
2012St. Louis 7-8-121.816
2014St. Louis 6-1022.217
2015St. Louis 7-920.613
2016L.A. Rams4-1224.623
2017Cleveland0-1625.631

Most of Williams’ defenses have been average against the run. That’s using fantasy scoring (6 points for touchdowns and 1 for every 10 yards). Unusually average (9 of his last 12 defenses have ranked between 12th and 19th in run defense).

Typically his groups will make stopping the run a priority. (Fast-forwarding to Week 1, with LeVeon Bell showing up rusty, I don’t expect the Steelers to come into Cleveland and finish with above-average rushing numbers.)

GREGG WILLIAMS DEFENSES (rushing)
YearTeamAttYardsYardsTDPtsRnk
2004Washington 4191,3043.17172.41
2005Washington 4111,6864.115258.616
2006Washington 4922,1974.59273.716
2007Washington 3911,4603.710206.06
2008Jacksonville 4281,7094.014254.916
2009New Orleans4351,9554.519309.525
2010New Orleans4211,7974.313257.719
2011New Orleans3511,7385.011239.812
2012St. Louis 4421,8804.318296.024
2014St. Louis 4251,7654.212248.514
2015St. Louis 4531,8204.07224.012
2016L.A. Rams4241,6603.912238.013
2017Cleveland4671,5663.414240.614

His defenses haven’t been as good against the pass. Four of his last six teams have ranked 22nd, 22nd, 25th and last in passer rating (the NFL’s complex grading system that blends touchdowns, interceptions, average gain and completion percentage).

GREGG WILLIAMS DEFENSES (passer rating)
YearTeamPctYardsTDIntRateRnk
2004Washington 57%3,222171872.25
2005Washington 54%3,318151670.13
2006Washington 59%3,58630697.832
2007Washington 58%3,622201477.110
2008Jacksonville 64%3,777251395.428
2009New Orleans57%3,961152668.63
2010New Orleans62%3,35313983.215
2011New Orleans58%4,41324986.422
2012St. Louis 66%3,927161783.914
2014St. Louis 68%4,126181391.822
2015St. Louis 67%4,301211390.416
2016L.A. Rams65%3,928321095.525
2017Cleveland69%3,881287102.332

On HBO’s documentary, we only get a brief look at Williams. But to me, he doesn’t come across as a coach who should be making key decisions. I don’t think he’s good enough.

For fantasy purposes (this is a fantasy site, yes?) sacks are key. In that regard, Williams looks like a slightly below-average option. His last 14 defenses have averaged 32.5 sacks per season, which is a few below the league average. In his first three years with the Rams, Williams’ teams finished with 52, 40 and 41 sacks, but those teams had a lot of talent on the defensive line. None of Williams’ last nine other teams have finished with more than 35 sacks.

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index