Fantasy Index

Andy Richardson

A Day of Football

I don't believe what I just saw

I've been watching football a long time. Long enough that perhaps my aging memory has forgotten some final weeks of the NFL regular season that were crazier than yesterday. But I don't think so. To have three different important, meaningful games go to overtime, with outcomes affecting both the teams playing and multiple teams watching, right through until the final play of the night game -- unprecedented. Never seen anything like it.

Kansas City at Denver: Denver and Drew Lock came to play; so did Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams. Sadly for Gordon, he undermined an otherwise impressive game by losing a game-changing fumble on a play that Kansas City saw coming a mile away, blew up in the backfield, and ran back for the game-winning score. Denver bizarrely kicked a field goal in the final minutes while trailing by 7 points, something I've seen happen a couple of times in recent weeks. Why? What's the argument for kicking a field goal late in the fourth quarter to pull within 4? I suppose the since-fired Vic Fangio was asked about it post-game and I guess it doesn't matter now. Tyreek Hill suffering an injury in pregame warmups, just a final blow to those with Hill who had a few too many disappointing weeks by the guy. Another good game by Mecole Hardman in a game that Hill missed; literally the only time he has good games.

Dallas at Philadelphia: So yeah, Dallas surprised us big-time by playing starters through the third quarter, with Dak Prescott throwing 5 TDs, the kind of game that would have been appreciated in any other week this season. Apologies to those who left Dak on the bench. The Eagles weren't playing defense, or playing at all, which made things really easy. To me the guesswork involved in playoff team motivations is one of the main reasons why fantasy Super Bowls shouldn't involve Week 18. But kudos to those who started Dak. A note on Gardner Minshew. He's a nice backup quarterback. I respect him believing he can and should start in the NFL, and given some of the quarterbacks around the league, he's right. But no team should be looking at him as a desirable starter.

Packers at Lions: So Packers played Rodgers-Adams-Dillon some, about a half each, and if you played them maybe they got you more points than the other options available to you would have. But in general I'm going to want the guy who plays full-time; rare you get a quarterback putting up huge numbers (Prescottian?) in a half or three quarters. Lions got a big day, again, from Amon-Ra St. Brown, and a late touchdown from D'Andre Swift. Kudos to this team for playing hard all year, and costing itself the No. 1 overall pick with this upset win besides. Gotta respect that.

Colts at Jaguars: I am not a football coach, and anything I can say to criticize the Colts about the offensive game plan needs to factor in that Indianapolis' defense played much, much worse than expected. But I watched most of this game, and an error seemed to be made in putting the offense in the hands of Carson Wentz, who at times has proven to be careless with both the football and his decision-making, and not in the hands and feet of the guy who would arguably be the MVP if the league ever gave these things to non-quarterbacks, Jonathan Taylor. Here's Wentz dropping back and taking a sack...on 1st and goal from the 7. I have no doubt that Jacksonville was focusing on the run, but I'm sorry, it was painful to watch them continually ask Wentz to make plays that didn't involve HANDING THE BALL OFF to Taylor. Anyway, kudos to Trevor Lawrence and Jacksonville, who played their best game all season and still got the No. 1 overall pick next year. That will help.

Football Team at Giants: Antonio Gibson has a big game, which I thought was possible given his chance for 1,000-yard season and the reality that New York wasn't going to do anything to force Washington away from the run. Both he and McLaurin got their 1,000-yard seasons, Washington dominated. Presumably people saw the Giants call a quarterback sneak on 3rd and 9 from near their own goal line, presumably worried about their quarterback taking a safety or turning it over. However they defended it at their press conference, pretty awful.

Bears at Vikings: Slugfest with lots of nice offensive numbers, except from Dalvin Cook. But most passing game options were good, as both teams went through the motions of trying to win and save their coaches' jobs. These decisions were already made. Darnell Mooney will be an interesting case in next year's drafts -- pretty great season, especially all things considered.

Titans at Texans: Entertaining game, and I'll tip my cap to the Texans for playing hard even after falling behind 21-0. I pointed out the number of blowout losses this team had, but I'll agree that David Culley did enough with this talent-thin team to maybe deserve another year. Not that he'll likely get it, but he didn't embarrass himself or anything. Well, the three- and four-back committee the team employed for much of the year was embarrassing. Anyway, huge game for Ryan Tannehill, made some strong throws throughout. D'Onta Foreman had a nice game running it and lost an early touchdown on a silly penalty; defensive player entering the game on offense near the goal line didn't properly report. Painful for those counting on Foreman. Huge game for Danny Amendola, helped by Brandin Cooks leaving early due to a knee injury, hope not too serious.

Steelers at Ravens: This was a remarkably fun game to watch, what with it gradually becoming clear that the Colts were going to lose and the winner of this one would make the playoffs. (Barring a Chargers-Raiders tie, which of course wouldn't happen.) And because you kind of knew it would be low-scoring, with neither offense very good and because these teams usually play defensive struggles, every play seemed critical. It wasn't all good, with neither quarterback making many plays and receivers from both teams committing some drops. But in overtime we got the drama of Diontae Johnson dropping a perfect throw on third down that would have set up the game-winning field goal, only to be followed by a crazy clutch fourth-down throw and catch to set up the game-winning field goal. Steelers win, and there's a 99 percent chance they're going to the playoffs. Unless...

Bengals at Browns: Hopefully people didn't start Samaje Perine. Once teams make the decision to rest starters, key backups are also fair game to get a seat. Cincinnati didn't play anyone for long. The Browns featured D'Ernest Johnson, who had a great day; one hopes he has a better fate in 2022 than No. 3 running back somewhere. Jarvis Landry the other usable Brown as their season came to a quiet end.

49ers at Rams: I know there's Davante Adams and Justin Jefferson and maybe even someone else I'm forgetting at the moment. But just maybe the two best wide receivers in the league this season were in this game, with Cooper Kupp and Deebo Samuel making plays throughout. But the Niners made a few more. Both quarterbacks forced some throws and committed turnovers leading to losses or near losses. Both coaches, especially Sean McVay, who seems to have the 49ers in his head at this point, made missteps. And now both teams are in the playoffs, and it's hard not to feel like San Francisco has just as much chance to go far as the Rams, even with Jimmy Garoppolo not actually being as good as Matthew Stafford. Great game.

Panthers at Buccaneers: Bucs put up big numbers late to win this game, but it was closer than the final score. You wonder if all the injuries and drama involving Antonio Brown will factor into Tampa Bay's postseason run; they look a little tired, and definitely hard to be confident that they'll just start clicking in the postseason, assuming they get Leonard Fournette back fully healthy. But they seem to have a favorable opening matchup with Philadelphia, and they'll probably be favored in the next game, too. A Green Bay-Tampa Bay NFC Championship looks kind of likely.

Seahawks at Cardinals: Arizona hasn't played particularly well for most of the second half of the season. Getting J.J. Watt back might help the defense, emotionally if nothing else, as might having DeAndre Hopkins back on offense, although that seems less likely. They open against the Rams, and that's a winnable game. So maybe. Big game here by Rashaad Penny, who busted a long touchdown run late. Good for him, I think he'll make some money somewhere, maybe even Seattle. Lots of changes coming for the Seahawks though.

Saints at Falcons: Weirdest story I heard yesterday morning was the speculation that the Steelers would pursue Matt Ryan in the offseason. Because they want to replace one old, statue-like quarterback with another one? Falcons profess commitment to Ryan but I think there are some financial considerations there. Whatever the case, Atlanta looks years from being relevant. And the Saints have some mirror-looking to do in the offseason too.

Patriots at Dolphins: I suppose the Patriots wanted to win this game, but there didn't seem to be a ton of urgency about it. I suppose subconsciously they knew the Bills weren't going to lose to the Jets, even though that one was close for a while. I know there's a lot of enthusiasm about the season Mac Jones had, and they seem to have a couple of nice young running backs. But I will be surprised if this team doesn't have a quick playoff exit. Dolphins fire head coach Brian Flores, a little surprising. Seems like the guy that should be fired is whoever decided to draft Tua over Justin Herbert.

Jets at Bills:Nice game -- nice month -- for Devin Singletary. You wonder a little why it took so long for the team to commit to him, given the way he's played. Bills now get their third game with the Patriots in the last six weeks. I know there's some intangible concerns about facing Bill Belichick and whatnot, but if I were a Bills fan I'd rather be playing New England than the Chargers. Jets...not much to say. Another offseason of questions and turmoil coming up.

Chargers at Raiders: The term "instant classic" is tossed around a lot these days. I'm not sure any game I've seen in years has earned it more than this one. By the fourth quarter, with the Chargers completing fourth down after fourth down, I thought I was watching one of the classic 80s Chargers games, with Dan Fouts duking it out with Marino or Ken Anderson. And years from now this game will be watched with no awareness of the fact it affected whether three teams would make or not make the playoffs, and the reality that a tie was potentially desirable, something that pretty much never happens and seldom comes as close as it did last night. I can't imagine what it was like for Steelers player and fans, basically celebrating making the playoffs hours earlier and being hit with the dawning realization that Oops, no, actually... It might be snatched away. Crazy stuff.

In overtime, for those who couldn't stay up, it looked like the Raiders would be content to tie, putting both teams in the playoffs. Then the Chargers called timeout, stunning both announcers and seemingly the Raiders. After which a Jacobs run put them in field goal range and they tried the kick, despite the small risk of a block or something which could result in a loss. Chargers coach Brandon Staley explained it as wanting to get the right defense on the field, which it can only be said failed miserably. I presume Staley lay awake last night wondering what might have happened if the timeout hadn't been called. Decent chance the teams tie, and we're talking about one of the most miraculous outcomes in NFL history. Maybe we still are.

A final note about the two best teams who missed the playoffs, the Colts and Chargers. With the Colts, they blew a lot of games they should have won this season, not just yesterday. Pretty young and talented team with a strong defense; they just need to do a better job, I think, of reining in or at least coaching up Wentz at key moments.

The Chargers weren't good enough on defense. They didn't make enough plays, not last night and not in some other losses. But I see Herbert out there making throws like he did last night and think he's the closest thing to Dan Marino or John Elway we've seen in 30 years. I think he's going to be in a lot of playoff games, even if one of them won't come next week.

20 Reader Comments:

Ben Hogevoll

Siletz, OR
2022-01-10T15:49:47Z
I know a few people don't care much for Cris Collinsworth which I don't get but kudos for him coming up fairly early with the possible tie theory last night.For sure the game will go down in history as one of if not the best NFL game ever played and what was at stake for the outcome.Finally I would say both Collinsworth and Michaels excitement while announcing the game even made it better.WOW!!!

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-01-10T15:53:42Z
It was definitely a factor throughout the latter part of the game. If the Chargers had needed to win, maybe they'd have gone for 2 at the end rather than kicking the extra point for overtime. I don't think either team wanted to tie, but it was one of the very rare situations where a tie actually was about as good as a win, which normally you can't say.

John Ruppe

Fort Myers, FL
2022-01-10T15:54:34Z
I'll be curious to see what Ian posts for the playoffs, but it sure looks to me like Buffalo has the best shot of playing 3-4 games

Ben Hogevoll

Siletz, OR
2022-01-10T15:58:44Z
FINALLY ,CONGRATES TO THE NFL FOR SCHEDULING THAT GAME PRIME TIME AND LAST GAME OF THE REGULAR SEASON!!!!

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-01-10T16:28:20Z
John - I did my own numbers this morning and came up with Kansas City. They have by far the best matchup in the opening round -- way more likely to win than anyone else. I realize it's 0-0, but they beat Pittsburgh 36-10 just two weeks ago. I give them a slight edge against Buffalo, but I guess that's a matter of opinion.

Tampa Bay seems in good position in the NFC, with a good matchup this week (I think) and then perhaps Dallas in the next round.

Jay Gilbert

Raleigh, NC
2022-01-10T16:42:30Z
How would you like to be one of the guys who bet the Jags win/Raiders-Chargers tie parlay. That my friends is a bad beat.

Cody Hager

Portland, OR
2022-01-10T16:55:38Z
With the extra game this year, a lot of players had a shot of breaking league or team records and/or hitting certain contract incentive bonuses. For example in your Cowboys write up, they may have played the starters longer than expected so Dak could break Romo's single season TD record. Not that I play many Week 18 games, but looking at the incentives/records will factor in on who will be in my line-up

Ben Hogevoll

Siletz, OR
2022-01-10T17:01:42Z
Cody from Oregon,Speaking of records,I wonder why X coach Zimmer didn't allow Jefferson to break Randy Moss's record.Most likely he was just being a Ahole knowing he was fired which he deserved.

Robert Kurek

Blacksburg, VA
2022-01-10T18:53:04Z
I’m tired of PI calls when the receiver has no chance of the catch, and the QB is just tossing it up on 3rd and long.

Pete DeBiase

Havertown, PA
2022-01-10T18:59:39Z
Staley claimed to have the taken the TO to get the right personnel grouping on the field. Take a look at Emmanuel Acho’s tweet after the game that shows that he most likely didn’t have the proper grouping on the field. One man’s opinion, but certainly a valid one.

Steve Frichette

Eugene, OR
2022-01-10T19:10:36Z
Thank you to everyone at Fantasy Index! You guys had a great year with your rankings! Best in the biz

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-01-10T19:11:12Z
Pete yeah I saw that. It is valid (and some are ignoring he called the timeout with just a few seconds on the clock, so it didn't actually save much time).

The bigger question to me is the result, since the timeout may have 1) confused the Raiders and made them think the Chargers were going to try to win, influencing their own effort to try to win, and 2) inadvertently factored into the next, successful play that got the Raiders into field goal range. I guess if he hadn't called timeout, and the Raiders had run into field goal range and won it, he would have had the same second-guessing -- "Maybe if I'd called time and put the right defense out there we'd have stopped them." But there's at least some chance if he did nothing the Raiders would have just run a short play into the line, and the clock would have expired. We'll never know for sure of course.

Jim Kontopoulos

Northbrook, IL
2022-01-10T19:21:41Z
There is an old expression that says "It is a shame that one team had to lose this game." Generally spoken after a game like the Chargers and Raiders - In this case the Raiders regardless of any time-out called should have played for the tie and put the most poetic spin every on this saying .

Just saying.....

Drew Paterson

Ferndale, WA
2022-01-10T19:38:10Z
The Chargers-Raiders tie scenario was a story long before Collinsworth even thought about it! For myself, needing a decent performance from Herbert to win my Fantasy game, I started feeling queasy as soon as I realized the Colts were going to collapse and lose to the Jaguars. I seriously envisioned a 3-3 type game where both Teams just ran the ball up the middle and agreed to play in the middle of the field. I was happy, however, to see the Raiders come out and obviously play-to-win from the first quarter onward. Chargers got behind early, thanks to a muffed punt and conservative play calling along with lack of a running game. With Herbert as my dynasty QB, I was worried he would get hurt being forced to stay in the pocket, and absorb hit after hit, a la classic Ben Roethlisberger. Overall, credit should go to the Raiders staff as they played to win, stayed aggressive, and simply seemed better prepared than the Chargers. I like Derek Carr, since I've followed the Carr brothers since their H.S. days in Bakersfield, and think the Raiders could do a lot worse than lifting the interim label from Coach Bisaccia's title. As a long-time Michigan fan, I also don't think Jim Harbaugh will be leaving Ann Arbor.

jim toon

2022-01-10T20:38:30Z
People are saying the chargers and raiders should have knelt the whole game and took the tie. I'm sure the NFL would have come down hard on both teams for collusion. Right? How bad could the punishment have been?

MICHAEL PATTISON

Elk Grove, CA
2022-01-10T20:49:55Z
I am not a Raider's fan (or a Steeler's fan), but I am glad they won that game. I hate the tanking that goes on in many sports (not in the NFL this year apparently), and just taking a knee and not trying to win when you have a chance to win doesn't sit well with me. Plus, the Raiders improved their seeding from 7 to 5 by winning and not tying. Still a long shot to make the Super Bowl, but slightly better odds being the 5 seed than the 7.

Pete DeBiase

Havertown, PA
2022-01-10T21:02:06Z
All good points, Andy.

Darren Castillo

Placentia, CA
2022-01-10T21:12:24Z
Thanks for mentioning Fouts and those games way back. Seemed like the Chargers had good teams but just couldn't get there. Drew P thanks for your input I feel the same. The Raiders came to play. When the Chargers went for it on 4th down and didn't get it. I was concerned.
Always look forward to this column. Good luck to everyone's teams if they are in it

Andy Richardson

Port Chester, NY
2022-01-10T21:20:57Z
The flaw in the whole take a knee throughout is what if the other team went along with it for 58 minutes and then said Nah and kicked a field goal. Where I understand playing for a tie is if going for the win carried a strong risk of a loss with a tie secured. If it had been week 12 I bet the Chargers would’ve gone for two at the end of regulation, where a tie didn’t have a similar benefit to a win. But if you’re tied in OT, doing something really risky like throwing a dangerous sideline pass that could be returned the other way, or attempting a 60-yard field goal that could more easily be blocked and run back, is a risk I understand teams not taking.

Mark Harvey

Happy Valley, OR
2022-01-11T05:03:58Z
Hey Chargers---Brian Flores is available. Good time to get rid of Staley. I'm sure there's a Junior College out there that can use his services. Long time Charger fan all the way back to John Hadl and then Dan Fouts. Please lose Staley, I can't take it.
Sign in to add a comment

Fantasy Index