We're cruising into Week 4 of our fledgling wagering publication, Index Bets. The math works out to about $5 a pop for each week, published each Thursday, and the next month (or the whole season) are available for purchase at the Fantasy Index Store right now.
Each week, I sift through the player values, prop bets and over-under projections at FanDuel and DraftKings and compare them with the projections in Fantasy Index Weekly. In Index Bets, I select about two dozen of my favorite -- and least favorite -- bets of the week. Overs, unders, over-unders; whatever looks like the best spot to sink some money into and, ideally, turn it into more money.
Feedback has been positive, and the hit rate has been good -- about 65-70 percent. Last week the hits included five different players from the Chargers-Vikings game. Misses, well, I wasn't high enough on Geno Smith and DK Metcalf. But a good week all-around.
The other component to the weekly product is identifying good (and bad) values for FanDuel and DraftKings lineup type games; players with low prices who should perform like top options, or high prices who won't be worth it.
Purchase the latest in the store right now. Sample content below.
BEST BETS
A week after the Dolphins scored 70 points against Denver and the Bills scored 37 at Washington, the over-under for their game is 53.5. That’s high, but not high enough for these two teams. They played late last season and the Bills won 32-29. They also met in last year’s playoffs and the Bills won 34-31. Take the over. Also in that game, while the passing props are set accordingly and pretty high, the rushing and receiving props look a little low. Raheem Mostert has an over-under of 52.5. Buffalo will be more concerned about the passing game....
This report is just a small snippet of the Week 4 edition of Index Bets. The newsletter includes about two dozen similar recommendations for this weekend; monthly or full-season pricing works out to just $5 week. If you're in a state that allows it, happy betting!