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More than a feeling about Boston?

Browns rookie drawing praise so far

Few teams have a greater need for breakout wide receivers than the Cleveland Browns, so not surprising they drafted two of them in the top 40 picks in April. Offseason hype doesn't often mean much, but it beats the alternative. Denzel Boston has been getting some love thus far.

Cleveland drafted KC Concepcion in the first round and Boston in the second. I saw an encouraging story yesterday about Concepcion "catching everything thrown his way" on his first day of practice.

But there have been multiple stories on Boston, selected just 15 picks later, being one of the standouts this summer. These are feel-good stories and it's too early to draw any conclusions, but it had me wondering how often the wide receiver drafted second turns out to be the better NFL player.

Teams selecting multiple wide receivers early in the same draft (I defined "early" as in the first three rounds) doesn't happen very often. Since 2000, it's happened 25 times -- almost exactly once per year. It happened twice this year: Cleveland, with Concepcion and Boston, and Miami, with Caleb Douglas and Chris Bell.

How often has the player drafted second turned out better? Not very. Not as rookies, and not in their career. Maybe teams are really good at scouting, or maybe the player selected earlier gets more opportunities and benefit of the doubt. Or some combination.

Of those 25 previous pairings, the wide receiver drafted second had the better rookie season just five times. And only twice did that player go on to have the superior career.

Table shows all instances of a team drafting two wide receivers in the first three rounds since 2000. When the player drafted later had the better rookie season, he's listed in bold.

TEAMS DRAFTING MULTIPLE WRS (RD 1-3), 2000-PRESENT
RdPkYearPlayerRecYdsTDRk
1242026KC Concepcion, Cle.????
2392026Denzel Boston, Cle.????
3752026Caleb Douglas, Mia.????
3942026Chris Bell, Mia.????
1232025Matthew Golden, G.B.29361089
3872025Savion Williams, G.B.10781143
2342025Jayden Higgins, Hou.41525647
3792025Jaylin Noel, Hou.26292292
1152020Jerry Jeudy, Den.52856345
2462020KJ Hamler, Den.30381388
1122020Henry Ruggs, L.V.26452289
3812020Bryan Edwards, L.V.111931134
1252019Hollywood Brown, Balt.46584746
3932019Miles Boykin, Balt.131983107
2362019Deebo Samuel, S.F.57802631
3672019Jalen Hurd, S.F.000999
152017Corey Davis, Ten.34375085
3722017Taywan Taylor, Ten.162311110
1212016Will Fuller, Hou.47635361
3852016Braxton Miller, Hou.15991133
2612014Allen Robinson, Jac.48548265
2392014Marqise Lee, Jac.37422188
2422014Jordan Matthews, Phil.67872825
3862014Josh Huff, Phil.8981131
2412013Robert Woods, Buff.40587359
3782013Marquise Goodwin, Buff.172833100
182013Tavon Austin, St.L.40418653
3922013Stedman Bailey, St.L.172261113
3782010Brandon LaFell, Car.38468176
3892010Armanti Edwards, Car.000183
1222010Demaryius Thomas, Den.22283295
3872010Eric Decker, Den.61061138
2502009Mohamed Massaquoi, Cle.34624366
2362009Brian Robiskie, Cle.71060129
1292009Hakeem Nicks, NYG47790633
3852009Ramses Barden, NYG1160161
3972008Andre Caldwell, Cin.11780127
2462008Jerome Simpson, Cin.120177
2342008Devin Thomas, Was.151201110
2512008Malcolm Kelly, Was.3180163
1252006Santonio Holmes, Pitt.49824338
3952006Willie Reid, Pitt.000999
3962005Brandon Jones, Ten.23299294
3682005Courtney Roby, Ten.21289197
1312004Rashaun Woods, S.F.71601122
3772004Derrick Hamilton, S.F.000999
2542003Anquan Boldin, Ari.101137783
1172003Bryant Johnson, Ari.35438182
2412002Robert Ferguson, G.B.22293388
1202002Javon Walker, G.B.23319195
142000Peter Warrick, Cin.51592730
3662000Ron Dugans, Cin.141251108
2322000Dennis Northcutt, Cle.39422070
3792000JaJuan Dawson, Cle.9971117

The two instances where the receiver selected second had the better career are notable. Back in 2003, Anquan Boldin was drafted two rounds after Bryant Johnson and went on to have one of the best rookie seasons in NFL history, catching 101 passes for 1,377 yards, with 8 TDs. Eleven years later, Allen Robinson was drafted 22 picks after Marquise Lee, and while he was only slightly better as a rookie, he put a 1,400-yard campaign in his second season, with 14 TDs.

In my own rookie draft back in May, I selected Concepcion at 1.07, and Boston was drafted 4 picks later. In the magazine, you'll see them ranked 4th and 6th at the position in the rookie story -- not a lot of difference.

The Browns might not care much which one turns out better. Both hitting would be nice. As the table above makes clear, that doesn't happen very often, but you never know.

--Andy Richardson

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