Fantasy News

August 09, 2020

DraftSharks.com Invitational

Experts tournament reveals where QBs go in Superflex leagues

Where does one select a quarterback (or two) in a “Superflex” league? Based on a recent Experts League tournament put together by DraftSharks.com, maybe not as high as you would expect.

In a Superflex league, you can start two quarterbacks every week. In this particular league, you’re required to start each week a QB, 2 RB, 3 WR and a TE, and there are also two flex players. One of the flex players can be a second quarterback. The other must be a RB, WR or TE.

No kickers or defenses, and it’s a best-ball format. You draft 25 guys, and they’re your guys for the entire season. No waiver moves or trades – you get your best lineup each week. The other wrinkle here is that tight ends get an extra half point per reception.

This is the brainchild of Lenny Pappano, who’s been in the industry for years. He and Emil Kadlec created the first high-stakes experts leagues way back when (the World Championship of Fantasy Football, with a host of drafts in Las Vegas).

On this new venture, Pappano put together five leagues with 12 teams each with most of the notable names in the industry. They’re going to be tracking the leagues all year, discussing them in their weekly podcast. (For more details, visit DraftSharks.com.)

I was curious if this format would cause a flood of quarterbacks to be chosen in the first two rounds. There are only about 28 reliable ones, and it would be a nice asset to be plugging in a pair almost every week. Would be a strength to have three good quarterbacks, but only a few teams get that luxury (and you don’t want to short-change yourself at the other positions).

But these five drafts went by, and the demand for quarterbacks was lighter than I expected. Patrick Mahomes was a top-4 pick in only one of the five drafts. He and Lamar Jackson were top-9 picks in every league, but only one other quarterback was picked in the first round in any draft (Dak Prescott, picked in two of the five).

I was in the most quarterback-heavy draft, with Mahomes going 2nd overall, Dak Prescott picked 6th, and Jackson also in there.

But overall, the quarterbacks weren’t as coveted as I thought they would be. Only six quarterbacks ended up being top-35 players, when the picks were averaged. So even in this kind of format (with twice as many starting quarterbacks) there was some value in the strategy of hanging back and selecting a couple of quarterbacks after the first five rounds.

I was picking 12th in the fourth league, so I had the luxury of seeing how three previous drafts played out. In none of those did Matthew Stafford or Cam Newton go in the top 60 (and some other decent arms, too) so my plan was to select quarterbacks at picks 5.12 and 6.01, and then add a third quarterback at 7.12 – I figured Jimmy Garoppolo or Ryan Tannehill would be there.

The 12th pick isn’t my favorite (leaving a 22-pick gap between selections) but it’s what I drew in the lottery. Going in, my expectation was to select George Kittle and Davante Adams with my opening picks, then follow with running backs David Johnson and Chris Carson at 3.12 and 4.01. In looking at the previous drafts and my projections, however, I noticed that I would make my team slightly stronger by selecting Matt Ryan at 4.01 and then David Montgomery or Devin Singletary at 5.12. The previous drafts indicated one of those backs would be there. The combination of Ryan-Montgomery had slightly more pop than Newton-Carson, while also looking more durable.

Then the draft got underway, however, and plans needed to be altered. Adams hadn’t been a top-15 pick in any of the previous leagues, but he was gone. I hadn’t really considered that possibility. And Travis Kelce lasted until the 11th pick (had Kelce not gone 11th, I would have had to decide whether to go with both Kelce and Kittle in a rare TE-TE opener).

Ultimately Kelce went 11th, leaving me to pick between Derrick Henry and a running back I didn’t believe would be there – Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Henry perhaps safer, CEH with perhaps more upside, and it’s a decision that needs to be made in about 30 seconds. I went with CEH.

At picks 3.12 and 4.01, I went with David Johnson and Matt Ryan, as expected.

At picks 5.12 and 6.01, I had to select a wide receiver. The Davante Adams plan blew up, after all, and it’s an important position – a PPR league where you’re starting at least 3 WR every week. And there were a few receivers available here who had gone earlier in other drafts. And Stafford was gone. So I changed course, figuring I’d go with two wide receivers, then pick up Garoppolo and Tannehill or Cousins as my second and third quarterbacks the next time around. I went with Tyler Lockett and Terry McLaurin, going against my own board and not selecting Amari Cooper (that was a tough call; I hope it doesn’t come back to bite me).

Picks 7.12 and 8.01, I grabbed Garoppolo. Cousins was there, but so was a surprise player, with David Montgomery lasting longer than he did in any of the other drafts. I figured this was a nice opportunity to nail down the running back position, particularly with CEH and David Johnson having some risk.

I missed out on the third quarterback option, with guys like Sam Darnold and Derek Carr grabbed by other teams. I’m a little lean there. My only other quarterback picks were Kyle Allen in the 21st round (he wasn’t even picked in any of the other drafts). And I took Nick Mullens in the 23rd round to cover the possibility of Garoppolo getting hurt. I went with Jeff Wilson in the 24th round rather than also selecting Matt Ryan’s backup – couldn’t bring myself to choose Matt Schaub (even though he went over 400 yards in his only start last year).

Biggest regret: I selected Dede Westbrook at pick 157, overlooking that I could have selected one of the very best backup running backs (Alexander Mattison, who went 12 picks later). That was just really dumb. A combination of a fast clock and trying to chart the direction of my team while simultaneously ticking the names off my big board. Huge mistake.

Reserve RBs: Duke Johnson, Benny Snell, Jalen Richard, Malcolm Brown.

WRs: Lockett, McLaurin, Jamison Crowder, N’Keal Harry, Larry Fitzgerald, Westbrook, Hunter Renfrow, Steven Sims, Justin Gage.

TEs: Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Kyle Rudolph, Delanie Walker.

Below I took the 300 players chosen in each of these five drafts and averaged the results. I’m listing the top 200, and I’ve got the quarterbacks in bold. In a double-quarterback or superflex format, that should give you a general idea of where quarterbacks should go.

If you want to follow along with these leagues, they’ll be discussing them all year on the DraftSharks.com podcast.

QUARTERBACKS IN DRAFTSHARKS.COM SUPERFLEX LEAGUE
Rk	Player	Picks (5 drafts)
1	RB Christian McCaffrey, CAR	1 1 1 1 1
2	RB Saquon Barkley, NYG	2 2 2 3 3
3	RB Ezekiel Elliott, DAL	2 3 3 3 5
4	QB Patrick Mahomes, KC	2 5 5 5 8
5	RB Alvin Kamara, NO	4 4 4 7 7
6	QB Lamar Jackson, BAL	4 6 6 6 9
7	RB Dalvin Cook, MIN	4 5 8 8 10
8	WR Michael Thomas, NO	6 8 8 9 9
9	TE Travis Kelce, KC	7 7 9 11 11
10	RB Miles Sanders, PHI	7 11 11 14 16
11	RB Derrick Henry, TEN	10 10 12 14 16
12	RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC	10 11 13 13 17
13	TE George Kittle, SFO	10 12 12 17 18
14	RB Joe Mixon, CIN	13 14 15 17 17
15	WR Davante Adams, GB	9 15 15 17 21
16	QB Dak Prescott, DAL	6 12 20 22 22
17	WR Tyreek Hill, KC	13 15 20 20 23
18	RB Austin Ekeler, LAC	12 16 18 22 23
19	RB Kenyan Drake, ARI	15 18 18 19 22
20	WR Julio Jones, ATL	16 21 21 21 23
21	QB Deshaun Watson, HOU	13 19 24 24 27
22	RB Josh Jacobs, LV	18 19 19 27 27
23	RB Nick Chubb, CLE	14 20 24 26 28
24	QB Kyler Murray, ARI	14 20 25 25 28
25	RB Aaron Jones, GB	19 23 25 25 28
26	TE Mark Andrews, BAL	21 23 24 26 28
27	WR DeAndre Hopkins, ARI	22 25 27 29 30
28	QB Russell Wilson, SEA	16 28 29 32 34
29	WR Chris Godwin, TB	24 26 32 33 33
30	TE Zach Ertz, PHI	26 27 30 31 39
31	RB James Conner, PIT	29 30 30 33 34
32	RB Todd Gurley, ATL	29 30 33 34 36
33	WR DJ Moore, CAR	34 35 36 38 41
34	RB Melvin Gordon, DEN	32 35 36 40 44
35	RB Jonathan Taylor, IND	31 31 35 41 50
36	QB Josh Allen, BUF	26 37 37 43 46
37	WR Kenny Golladay, DET	29 32 34 47 49
38	RB Leonard Fournette, JAC	32 36 40 40 44
39	WR Mike Evans, TB	31 33 41 44 45
40	WR Allen Robinson, CHI	35 38 40 44 44
41	RB David Johnson, HOU	37 38 40 45 50
42	WR Odell Beckham, CLE	39 39 42 43 48
43	WR Adam Thielen, MIN	41 41 42 46 47
44	WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, PIT	37 39 43 45 54
45	QB Matt Ryan, ATL	36 42 46 48 55
46	RB Chris Carson, SEA	31 38 46 52 60
47	WR Amari Cooper, DAL	37 39 42 48 62
48	RB Le'Veon Bell, NYJ	35 42 51 51 51
49	WR Calvin Ridley, ATL	45 47 48 49 50
50	QB Tom Brady, TB	43 46 47 56 62
51	WR A.J. Brown, TEN	45 49 52 53 56
52	QB Carson Wentz, PHI	50 50 51 52 54
53	WR Robert Woods, LAR	51 52 54 55 59
54	WR Cooper Kupp, LAR	47 53 58 58 58
55	WR Terry McLaurin, WAS	49 52 55 57 61
56	QB Drew Brees, NO	48 55 57 59 62
57	RB Raheem Mostert, SFO	43 54 54 68 78
58	WR DJ Chark, JAC	53 56 58 66 67
59	WR Tyler Lockett, SEA	53 57 60 66 66
60	QB Daniel Jones, NYG	49 60 62 63 74
61	QB Aaron Rodgers, GB	53 57 64 64 72
62	QB Matthew Stafford, DET	57 58 63 65 76
63	QB Cam Newton, NE	62 63 63 67 67
64	WR Courtland Sutton, DEN	59 61 69 69 70
65	WR DK Metcalf, SEA	60 61 66 68 75
66	RB Kareem Hunt, CLE	38 61 68 71 96
67	RB Cam Akers, LAR	56 64 68 72 78
68	TE Darren Waller, LV	59 67 69 75 77
69	QB Jared Goff, LAR	55 71 71 74 86
70	QB Ben Roethlisberger, PIT	66 69 70 73 87
71	RB Mark Ingram, BAL	61 65 72 80 88
72	TE Evan Engram, NYG	67 70 71 73 90
73	WR Stefon Diggs, BUF	63 69 74 82 85
74	RB David Montgomery, CHI	56 73 78 81 85
75	QB Baker Mayfield, CLE	64 74 77 78 81
76	RB D'Andre Swift, DET	59 71 72 75 99
77	WR Keenan Allen, LAC	68 75 76 78 79
78	WR DeVante Parker, MIA	65 70 76 83 91
79	RB Devin Singletary, BUF	64 65 80 91 94
80	WR Marquise Brown, BAL	70 72 82 82 88
81	QB Ryan Tannehill, TEN	75 76 79 81 83
82	QB Joe Burrow, CIN	73 77 80 82 91
83	TE Tyler Higbee, LAR	60 82 84 86 95
84	QB Jimmy Garoppolo, SFO	79 80 83 84 95
85	RB Ronald Jones, TB	77 81 83 83 98
86	TE Hayden Hurst, ATL	65 87 88 88 102
87	QB Teddy Bridgewater, CAR	74 81 93 93 98
88	WR Michael Gallup, DAL	80 84 88 92 99
89	WR T.Y. Hilton, IND	79 85 92 96 99
90	QB Gardner Minshew, JAC	76 87 90 99 106
91	TE Hunter Henry, LAC	77 86 89 102 105
92	QB Kirk Cousins, MIN	84 87 90 94 107
93	WR A.J. Green, CIN	89 89 89 94 101
94	WR Tyler Boyd, CIN	79 92 93 100 106
95	WR Will Fuller, HOU	85 95 96 97 100
96	RB J.K. Dobbins, BAL	91 91 97 97 98
97	QB Drew Lock, DEN	85 86 86 100 120
98	WR Jarvis Landry, CLE	73 95 107 112 117
99	TE Mike Gesicki, MIA	87 100 109 110 111
100	WR Brandin Cooks, HOU	96 101 105 107 112
101	WR Diontae Johnson, PIT	94 98 103 104 125
102	TE Rob Gronkowski, TB	97 102 102 109 115
103	TE Noah Fant, DEN	94 96 104 112 120
104	QB Philip Rivers, IND	84 89 103 128 129
105	QB Sam Darnold, NYJ	93 106 108 110 120
106	QB Derek Carr, LV	90 105 110 114 123
107	WR Marvin Jones, DET	98 99 107 118 121
108	TE T.J. Hockenson, DET	100 106 110 113 116
109	RB James White, NE	101 108 111 111 115
110	WR Christian Kirk, ARI	93 111 117 123 125
111	TE Dallas Goedert, PHI	107 109 112 119 124
112	WR Julian Edelman, NE	104 110 114 115 130
113	TE Jared Cook, NO	108 109 113 125 126
114	TE Austin Hooper, CLE	105 118 118 119 128
115	TE Jonnu Smith, TEN	103 118 119 120 134
116	TE Blake Jarwin, DAL	116 116 117 123 125
117	RB Tarik Cohen, CHI	103 119 120 128 130
118	WR Mecole Hardman, KC	109 117 121 129 137
119	WR Jamison Crowder, NYJ	108 122 122 123 146
120	RB Jordan Howard, MIA	103 114 129 136 140
121	RB Tevin Coleman, SFO	121 122 124 132 133
122	WR CeeDee Lamb, DAL	108 121 122 138 149
123	QB Dwayne Haskins, WAS	102 115 116 152 153
124	RB Kerryon Johnson, DET	105 126 132 136 139
125	QB Tyrod Taylor, LAC	104 106 117 148 164
126	RB Matt Breida, MIA	124 124 127 131 139
127	WR Jalen Reagor, PHI	114 122 127 144 148
128	TE Chris Herndon, NYJ	121 128 130 138 141
129	RB Zack Moss, BUF	90 141 141 142 154
130	RB Derrius Guice, FA	92 92 101 116 270
131	WR Darius Slayton, NYG	126 129 137 140 144
132	QB Tua Tagovailoa, MIA	97 101 114 179 191
133	TE Jack Doyle, IND	126 130 137 144 148
134	RB Phillip Lindsay, DEN	129 134 140 140 142
135	WR Deebo Samuel, SFO	113 126 131 158 158
136	QB Nick Foles, CHI	118 124 143 151 159
137	TE Irv Smith, MIN	132 132 134 149 154
138	WR Mike Williams, LAC	125 128 147 147 155
139	RB Latavius Murray, NO	111 143 145 151 153
140	RB Duke Johnson, HOU	132 136 142 144 152
141	WR John Brown, BUF	119 139 142 147 159
142	WR Emmanuel Sanders, NO	115 144 145 145 160
143	TE Ian Thomas, CAR	130 138 141 149 152
144	WR Golden Tate, NYG	104 127 151 156 177
145	WR Henry Ruggs, LV	131 138 139 150 158
146	RB Alexander Mattison, MIN	113 133 137 168 170
147	TE Eric Ebron, PIT	127 145 145 148 159
148	TE Jace Sternberger, GB	133 134 147 158 164
149	RB Sony Michel, NE	134 146 150 152 164
150	RB Tony Pollard, DAL	133 135 153 156 171
151	RB Boston Scott, PHI	135 149 155 156 162
152	WR Jerry Jeudy, DEN	112 151 157 166 173
153	RB Marlon Mack, IND	131 135 159 168 168
154	WR Sterling Shepard, NYG	131 147 150 162 172
155	WR Curtis Samuel, CAR	127 153 160 160 162
156	RB Darrell Henderson, LAR	142 143 143 150 187
157	WR N'Keal Harry, NE	133 138 157 163 176
158	RB Antonio Gibson, WAS	95 159 166 171 182
159	WR Preston Williams, MIA	146 150 155 155 175
160	RB Chase Edmonds, ARI	141 157 165 167 169
161	WR DeSean Jackson, PHI	146 163 163 164 165
162	RB KeShawn Vaughn, TB	139 163 164 165 173
163	WR Sammy Watkins, KC	123 166 169 170 176
164	WR Brandon Aiyuk, SFO	146 151 165 169 178
165	TE Gerald Everett, LAR	143 161 167 170 174
166	RB AJ Dillon, GB	148 160 168 169 172
167	WR Anthony Miller, CHI	154 162 167 167 173
168	RB Justin Jackson, LAC	113 157 162 196 198
169	WR Parris Campbell, IND	135 154 174 182 190
170	TE Greg Olsen, SEA	136 152 163 190 196
171	WR Justin Jefferson, MIN	155 171 173 173 179
172	QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA	135 149 186 189 193
173	WR Breshad Perriman, NYJ	158 167 174 174 180
174	QB Justin Herbert, LAC	137 140 161 190 225
175	WR Allen Lazard, GB	136 177 179 180 185
176	RB Damien Harris, NE	160 166 168 176 192
177	QB Mitchell Trubisky, CHI	156 161 183 183 195
178	WR Michael Pittman, IND	161 172 177 181 191
179	RB Nyheim Hines, IND	166 176 179 182 186
180	TE O.J. Howard, TB	153 169 184 192 208
181	RB Darrynton Evans, TEN	170 172 172 191 202
182	WR Robby Anderson, CAR	171 181 182 186 188
183	RB Joshua Kelley, LAC	174 175 177 188 197
184	WR Steven Sims, WAS	178 180 180 184 193
185	RB DeAndre Washington, KC	175 178 180 189 194
186	TE Dawson Knox, BUF	170 182 188 192 196
187	RB Anthony McFarland, PIT	171 178 186 192 203
188	RB Ryquell Armstead, JAC	161 165 190 200 215
189	WR Laviska Shenault, JAC	183 187 191 193 201
190	WR Antonio Brown, FA	178 185 189 199 204
191	WR James Washington, PIT	175 187 188 205 213
192	TE C.J. Uzomah, CIN	177 181 197 207 212
193	RB Jerick McKinnon, SFO	183 197 198 198 202
194	WR Corey Davis, TEN	187 195 195 201 202
195	WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI	156 195 205 208 219
196	WR Dede Westbrook, JAC	157 201 201 204 225
197	WR Denzel Mims, NYJ	184 184 203 206 218
198	WR Randall Cobb, HOU	190 193 199 206 208
199	TE Will Dissly, SEA	184 186 210 214 215
200	RB Lynn Bowden, LV	183 196 210 213 213

—Ian Allan

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