Factoid

September 29, 2022

J.K. Dobbins

Can Ravens revive their running game?

J.K. Dobbins is back, but can the Ravens get him going? They’re not running the ball the same way they did a few years back.

A few years back, Baltimore had a crushing running game – on par with what the Eagles were doing in the second half of last year. The Ravens averaged 206 and 192 rushing yards in the 2019 and 2020 season. But they’re more balanced now. They ran for only 146 yards per game last year, and they’re down at 135 this season, even though Lamar Jackson has run for over 100 yards two weeks in a row.

Gone, it seems, are the days of the Ravens lining up and just running the ball down people’s throats. Now it’s more about Jackson making plays as a dual threat.

They’re getting J.K. Dobbins back now. He missed all of the 2021 season and carried 7 times for 23 yards on Sunday in New England. But he doesn’t look likely to become a reliable 1,000-yard back.

And for fantasy purposes, Baltimore’s running backs are also hurt by their limited receiving production. They’re not used much in the passing game. Using PPR scoring, Baltimore’s running backs ranked only 26th in overall production in the 2021 season. (They were 15th in 2020.)

Using PPR scoring, a running back typical needs to score 13 points to finish with top-20 numbers. No Baltimore running back has hit that mark yet this year, and it only happened six times (in 17 games) last season.

Below see all of Baltimore’s games since 2019. In 24 of those 52 games (slightly less than half) the team had a running back with top-20 PPR numbers. Those guys are in bold. In four of those games, the team also had a second back with at least 13 points, and those guys are tagged with black dots.

I don’t see Dobbins as a priority at the position right now. For the time being, I expect he’ll be sharing time with Justice Hill. Hill wasn’t much of a factor in his first three years but on Sunday had his best game as a pro, with a cool 34-yard run that nearly went for a touchdown. He finished with 60 yards on 6 carries – his first game with 40-plus yards.

BALTIMORE'S BEST GAME-BY-GAME RUNNING BACKS (since 2019)
Year	Player	Opp	Result	Run	Rec	PPR
2019	Ingram	at Mia.	W 59-10	14-107-2	0-0-0	22.7
2019	Ingram	Ariz.	W 23-17	13-47-0	2-30-0	9.7
2019	Ingram	at K.C.	L 28-33	16-103-3	4-32-0	35.5
2019	Ingram	Cle.	L 25-40	12-71-0	1-0-0	8.1
2019	Ingram	at Pitt.	W 26-23	19-44-1	2-5-0	12.9
2019	Ingram	Cin.	W 23-17	13-52-1	2-22-0	15.4
2019	Ingram	at Sea.	W 30-16	12-46-0	1-7-0	6.3
2019	Ingram	N.E.	W 37-20	15-115-0	2-29-0	16.4
2019	Ingram	at Cin.	W 49-13	9-34-1	0-0-0	9.4
2019	Ingram	Hou.	W 41-7	13-48-0	3-37-2	23.5
2019	• G.Edwards	Hou.	W 41-7	8-112-1	0-0-0	17.2
2019	Ingram	at LAR	W 45-6	15-111-1	1-7-1	24.8
2019	Ingram	S.F.	W 20-17	15-59-0	2-3-0	8.2
2019	Ingram	at Buff.	W 24-17	15-50-0	3-29-0	10.9
2019	Ingram	NYJ	W 42-21	13-76-1	1-10-1	21.6
2019	Ingram	at Cle.	W 31-15	8-55-0	2-36-1	17.1
2019	• J.Hill	at Cle.	W 31-15	3-19-1	3-32-0	14.1
2019	G.Edwards	Pitt.	W 28-10	21-130-0	1-2-0	14.2
2020	Dobbins	Cle.	W 38-6	7-22-2	0-0-0	14.2
2020	Ingram	at Hou.	W 33-16	9-55-1	2-22-0	15.7
2020	Dobbins	K.C.	L 20-34	1-6-0	4-38-0	8.4
2020	Ingram	at Was.	W 31-17	8-34-1	1-3-0	10.7
2020	Dobbins	Cin.	W 27-3	1-34-0	3-21-0	8.5
2020	G.Edwards	at Phil.	W 30-28	14-26-1	0-0-0	8.6
2020	G.Edwards	Pitt.	L 24-28	16-87-1	0-0-0	14.7
2020	• Dobbins	Pitt.	L 24-28	15-113-0	1-8-0	13.1
2020	G.Edwards	at Ind.	W 24-10	11-23-1	2-11-0	11.4
2020	G.Edwards	at N.E.	L 17-23	7-42-0	1-31-0	8.3
2020	Dobbins	Ten.	L 24-30	15-70-1	2-15-0	16.5
2020	G.Edwards	at Pitt.	L 14-19	9-10-1	0-0-0	7.0
2020	Dobbins	Dall.	W 34-17	11-71-1	0-0-0	13.1
2020	G.Edwards	at Cle.	W 47-42	7-49-2	1-4-0	18.3
2020	Dobbins	Jac.	W 40-14	14-64-1	1-17-0	15.1
2020	G.Edwards	NYG	W 27-13	15-85-0	2-37-0	14.2
2020	• Dobbins	NYG	W 27-13	11-77-1	0-0-0	13.7
2020	Dobbins	at Cin.	W 38-3	13-160-2	0-0-0	28.0
2021	T.Williams	at L.V.	L 27-33	9-65-1	3-29-0	18.4
2021	T.Williams	K.C.	W 36-35	13-77-0	2-16-0	11.3
2021	L.Murray	at Det.	W 19-17	7-28-0	0-0-0	2.8
2021	L.Murray	at Den.	W 23-7	18-59-1	0-0-0	11.9
2021	Freeman	Ind.	W 31-25	1-1-0	3-34-0	6.5
2021	L.Murray	LAC	W 34-6	9-44-1	2-12-0	13.6
2021	Freeman	Cin.	L 17-41	4-14-1	3-25-0	12.9
2021	Freeman	Min.	W 34-31	13-79-0	2-4-1	16.3
2021	Freeman	at Mia.	L 10-22	10-35-0	3-23-0	8.8
2021	Freeman	at Chi.	W 16-13	16-49-1	6-31-0	20.0
2021	Freeman	Cle.	W 16-10	16-52-0	1-8-0	7.0
2021	Freeman	at Pitt.	L 19-20	14-52-1	5-45-0	20.7
2021	Freeman	at Cle.	L 22-24	13-64-0	5-8-0	12.2
2021	L.Murray	G.B.	L 30-31	7-48-0	1-3-0	6.1
2021	Freeman	at Cin.	L 21-41	6-17-1	2-3-0	10.0
2021	Freeman	LAR	L 19-20	14-76-0	1-1-0	8.7
2021	L.Murray	Pitt.	L 13-16	16-150-1	0-0-0	21.0
2022	Drake	at NYJ	W 24-9	11-31-0	1-15-0	5.6
2022	J.Hill	Mia.	L 38-42	3-16-0	0-0-0	1.6
2022	J.Hill	at N.E.	W 37-26	6-60-0	0-0-0	6.0

—Ian Allan

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