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D'Onta Foreman

Chubb insurance has potential for Browns

The Browns signed D'Onta Foreman yesterday, and I'm interested. Nick Chubb suffered an ugly knee injury last season that required multiple surgeries, and seems unlikely to be healthy at the start of the season. Foreman gets no respect, but he should.

The Browns still have Jerome Ford, and I suppose he'll enter training camp as the favorite to start. But Ford wasn't so impressive that he couldn't be pushed (or surpassed) by Foreman. Ford averaged 4.0 yards per carry, but had more bad games than good. In eight of his 18 games (including the playoffs) he averaged under 2.5 per attempt. In the playoff loss to Houston, he carried 9 times for 17 yards, and was no better in the Week 16 win (15 carries, 25 yards).

Foreman never worked out for the Texans, who selected him in the third round way back in 2017. He suffered an Achilles injury that year, and it basically sidelined him for the next two seasons; he appeared in only one game before latching onto the Titans in 2020. That year he was active for six games, carrying it just 22 times (with Derrick Henry rushing for over 2,000 yards).

But when Henry got hurt the next season, Foreman was a really impressive fill-in. As the lead back down the stretch, he rushed for over 100 yards in three of the final six games. He signed with Carolina in the offseason, and was even better after the Panthers traded away Christian McCaffrey. He rushed for over 100 yards five times the second half of the season, with 5 TDs.

Some teams might have wanted to keep that around, but not Carolina. They gave big money to Miles Sanders, letting Foreman sign with Chicago. The Bears made him a healthy scratch until Khalil Herbert got injured -- at which point Foreman reeled off 80-yard rushing performances in three of the next five games, with 3 TDs.

What exactly does the guy have to do to get a second contract with a team?

Over the past three seasons, on three different teams, Foreman in his 20 starts has averaged over 72 rushing yards. Only six running backs with that many starts have averaged more than he has. Three of those guys were players he started out or will start out behind (Henry, McCaffrey and Chubb).

RUNNING BACKS PER START, 2021-2023 (20-PLUS GAMES)
PlayerStAttRunRecTotalTD
Jonathan Taylor3618.993.816.5110.30.9
Nick Chubb3316.989.513.2102.70.7
Derrick Henry4120.788.818.7107.50.9
Christian McCaffrey3915.677.041.6118.60.9
Dalvin Cook3117.076.317.693.90.5
Josh Jacobs4517.674.023.297.20.6
D'Onta Foreman2016.272.27.579.60.4
Kenneth Walker2616.369.615.885.30.7
Saquon Barkley4316.466.720.587.20.6
Travis Etienne2915.366.123.089.20.6
Miles Sanders3413.465.19.374.40.4
Joe Mixon4716.165.024.189.00.8
Isiah Pacheco2513.864.614.679.20.5
Najee Harris5116.464.117.081.10.5
Dameon Pierce2016.563.312.575.80.3
James Conner4114.562.820.583.30.9
James Cook2212.762.323.485.70.4
David Montgomery4315.062.017.179.00.6
Raheem Mostert3112.661.412.273.50.8
Breece Hall2412.660.733.794.40.6
Alvin Kamara4115.760.734.094.70.5
Aaron Jones4312.259.923.783.60.5
Brian Robinson2614.458.016.574.50.5
Rhamondre Stevenson3112.857.921.879.70.4
Tony Pollard4812.056.921.278.10.4
Ezekiel Elliott3714.656.514.571.10.8
Devin Singletary4312.455.915.371.20.4
James Robinson2012.355.413.468.80.6
Damien Harris2512.255.39.164.40.7
Chuba Hubbard3113.954.614.769.40.4
Rachaad White2514.554.228.282.30.4
Jamaal Williams3313.853.57.461.00.6
D'Andre Swift4211.452.525.177.60.5
Austin Ekeler4712.552.238.490.61.0
Leonard Fournette2912.751.033.684.60.6
Javonte Williams3712.650.816.867.60.3
Antonio Gibson3312.749.320.369.60.5
Gus Edwards2511.249.17.256.30.7
Zack Moss2110.848.411.860.20.5
AJ Dillon4011.747.715.162.80.4
Melvin Gordon2611.347.516.864.30.5
Latavius Murray2110.347.46.854.20.4
Cordarrelle Patterson2810.446.323.970.10.7
Darrell Henderson2311.044.715.860.40.6
Michael Carter279.438.120.959.00.3
Kareem Hunt258.034.215.449.50.4
Kenyan Drake227.333.217.250.40.4
Kenneth Gainwell204.321.79.931.60.3

Foreman doesn't get used much in the passing game, which prevents him from hanging with a lot of other backs in PPR formats. Ford caught 44 passes and 5 touchdowns last year, which made him grade out better in fantasy leagues than his modest rushing production (including just 4 TDs) would suggest. However this backfield shakes out, Ford will probably get the receiving work. (Kareem Hunt is gone.)

But I don't think anyone should be surprised if Foreman emerges as the better runner, and main beneficiary if (when) Chubb isn't healthy at the start of the season. Eventually some team is going to decide he's a pretty capable back.

--Andy Richardson

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