Fantasy Index

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Factoid

DeAndre Hopkins

Hopkins well past the peak of his career

DeAndre Hopkins is down with a knee injury, which isn’t necessarily a big deal. But the injury serves as a reminder that receivers can get old in a hurry. Hopkins is 32, and that tends to be about the pull date at the position. For big-time production, anyway.

In the last 10 years, only three wide receivers who were at least 32 years old have finished with top-10 numbers. It hasn’t happened in five years (since Julian Edelman in 2019). That’s using PPR scoring.

Only four others have finished with top-20 numbers, and only four others have cracked the top 30. So that’s 11 seasons total (out of the 300 wide receivers who’ve finished with top-30 numbers in the last 10 years).

It picks up a little bit outside the top 30, with nine cracking the top 40, and another additional 10 making the top 50 (so 19 of the next 200 receivers). Of the 30 receivers (age 32 and up) who’ve posted top-50 numbers in the last 10 years, only three caught more than 6 TDs. Usually with these guys, you’re getting more reputation than production – guys past their peak.

It's something to keep in mind when considering the likes of Hopkins, Tyler Lockett, Keenan Allan and Davante Adams. All are entering their age-32 seasons.

OLDER RECEIVERS WITH TOP-50 NUMBERS (last 10 yrs)
YearPlayerAgeRecYdsTDPPRRk
2017Larry Fitzgerald, Ari.341091,1566263.75
2019Julian Edelman, N.E.331001,1176258.87
2015Larry Fitzgerald, Ari.321091,2159284.57
2016Larry Fitzgerald, Ari.331071,0236245.811
2023Adam Thielen, Car.331031,0144231.017
2014Steve Smith, Balt.35791,0656221.518
2014Anquan Boldin, S.F.34831,0625219.619
2018Julian Edelman, N.E.32748506207.921
2014Roddy White, Atl.33809217214.121
2018Larry Fitzgerald, Ari.35697346186.026
2014Andre Johnson, Hou.33859363196.628
2022Adam Thielen, Min.32707166180.031
2019Emmanuel Sanders, Den.-S.F.32668695190.732
2017Ted Ginn, N.O.32537874159.634
2019Larry Fitzgerald, Ari.36758044179.435
2016Steve Smith, Balt.37707995183.937
2018Jordy Nelson, Oak.33637393156.738
2021Cole Beasley, Buff.32826931159.339
2015Anquan Boldin, S.F.35697894171.940
2014Malcom Floyd, S.D.33528566173.640
2021A.J. Green, Ari.33548483156.841
2020Emmanuel Sanders, N.O.33617265164.841
2016Anquan Boldin, Det.36675848173.442
2018DeSean Jackson, T.B.32417744151.343
2017Danny Amendola, N.E.32616592138.944
2017Jordy Nelson, G.B.32534826137.246
2019Danny Amendola, Det.34626781140.849
2016Brandon Marshall, NYJ32597883155.849
2015Nate Washington, Hou.32476584136.849
2014Reggie Wayne, Ind.36647792153.950

In the case of the Titans, their pass catchers in general are old. Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd will also be 30 before the end of the year. The Titans, at least, have a more innovative play caller this season, and their offensive line should be significantly improved.

I played around some, looking at older receivers. I see one tandem of thirtysomethings in the last 10 years who both went over 1,000 yards – Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson with Washington, when Kyle Shanahan was dialing up the plays.

I see one trio of 30-plus receivers each going over 500 yards in the last 10 years – the Falcons, with Roddy White leading the way and Devin Hester and Harry Douglas sneaking over 500 yards.

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index