Factoid

October 13, 2023

KC offense

Kansas City struggling to get offense in gear

Kansas City has completed over a third of its season, and the offense hasn’t quite clicked in yet. The team is winning, but it isn’t putting up its usual numbers. It’s being carried by the defense.

KC scored 3 TDs at Minnesota, and it scored 5 TDs at Chicago, but it’s finished with 2 or fewer in each of its other four games. That is, it’s been below-average in two thirds of its games.

I imagine they’ll get it going at some point. The next three are against the Chargers, Broncos and Dolphins, which should help promote scoring. But it’s hard to go into weeks expecting about 4 TDs when the only such game this year has come against the hapless Bears.

Below see the rundown of all games that Patrick Mahomes has started, along with the team’s offensive production – rushing yards, passing yards and total (offensive) touchdowns.

The weeks in bold, those are high-payoff weeks – with the offense scoring at least 4 TDs. That’s what you’re looking for when you using an early pick on Mahomes. The weeks tagged with black dots are those that the offense scored fewer than 2 TDs (what what might call fantasy misses).

In the Mahomes era, I see two other stretches similar to what we’re in right now. In 2019, both Mahomes and Tyreek Hill had injury issues, bogging down the offense. And at the end of the last year, KC scored more than 3 TDs only once in one six-game stretch.

KANSAS CITY OFFENSE WITH MAHOMES STARTING
Year	G	Opp	Result	Run	TDR	Pass	TDP	OTDs
2017	16	• at Den.	W 27-24	110	2	284	0	2
2018	1	at LAC	W 38-28	106	0	256	4	4
2018	2	at Pitt.	W 42-37	127	0	322	6	6
2018	3	S.F.	W 38-27	77	2	307	3	5
2018	4	at Den.	W 27-23	142	2	304	1	3
2018	5	• Jac.	W 30-14	126	2	298	0	2
2018	6	at N.E.	L 40-43	94	0	352	4	4
2018	7	Cin.	W 45-10	198	1	353	4	5
2018	8	Den.	W 30-23	49	0	291	4	4
2018	9	at Cle.	W 37-21	139	2	360	3	5
2018	10	Ari.	W 26-14	118	1	212	2	3
2018	11	at LAR	L 51-54	98	0	448	6	6
2018	12	at Oak.	W 40-33	174	1	295	4	5
2018	13	Balt.	W 27-24	94	1	348	2	3
2018	14	LAC	L 28-29	60	2	234	2	4
2018	15	at Sea.	L 31-38	154	0	265	3	3
2018	16	Oak.	W 35-3	99	2	310	2	4
2019	1	at Jac.	W 40-26	113	1	378	3	4
2019	2	at Oak.	W 28-10	31	0	436	4	4
2019	3	Balt.	W 33-28	140	1	363	3	4
2019	4	at Det.	W 34-30	123	3	315	0	3
2019	5	• Ind.	L 13-19	36	0	288	1	1
2019	6	Hou.	L 24-31	53	0	256	3	3
2019	7	• at Den.	W 30-6	80	0	191	2	2
2019	10	at Ten.	L 32-35	97	0	433	3	3
2019	11	at LAC	W 24-17	130	2	180	1	3
2019	12	Oak.	W 40-9	96	3	163	1	4
2019	13	• at N.E.	W 23-16	75	1	271	1	2
2019	14	• Den.	W 23-3	92	0	327	2	2
2019	15	at Chi.	W 26-3	106	1	244	2	3
2019	16	LAC	W 31-21	162	2	174	1	3
2020	1	Hou.	W 34-20	166	1	203	3	4
2020	2	• at LAC	W 23-20	125	0	289	2	2
2020	3	at Balt.	W 34-20	132	1	385	4	5
2020	4	• N.E.	W 26-10	94	0	229	2	2
2020	5	L.V.	L 32-40	80	2	333	2	4
2020	6	at Buff.	W 26-17	245	1	221	2	3
2020	7	at Den.	W 43-16	101	2	185	1	3
2020	8	NYJ	W 35-9	50	0	446	5	5
2020	9	Car.	W 33-31	36	0	361	4	4
2020	10	at L.V.	W 35-31	108	3	352	2	5
2020	11	at T.B.	W 27-24	87	0	456	3	3
2020	12	• Den.	W 22-16	134	0	313	1	1
2020	13	at Mia.	W 33-27	94	1	354	2	3
2020	14	at N.O.	W 32-29	179	1	232	3	4
2020	15	• Atl.	W 17-14	117	0	278	2	2
2021	1	Cle.	W 33-29	73	1	324	3	4
2021	2	at Balt.	L 35-36	62	1	343	3	4
2021	3	LAC	L 24-30	186	0	251	3	3
2021	4	at Phil.	W 42-30	200	1	271	5	6
2021	5	• Buff.	L 20-38	120	0	272	2	2
2021	6	at Was.	W 31-13	109	2	390	2	4
2021	7	• at Ten.	L 3-27	77	0	257	0	0
2021	8	• NYG	W 20-17	107	1	261	1	2
2021	9	• G.B.	W 13-7	77	0	160	1	1
2021	10	at L.V.	W 41-14	94	0	422	5	5
2021	11	• Dall.	W 19-9	126	2	244	0	2
2021	12	• Den.	W 22-9	89	1	178	0	1
2021	13	L.V.	W 48-9	132	3	240	2	5
2021	14	at LAC	W 34-28	86	1	410	3	4
2021	15	Pitt.	W 36-10	127	1	254	3	4
2021	16	at Cin.	L 31-34	155	2	259	2	4
2021	17	• at Den.	W 28-24	135	0	255	2	2
2022	1	at Ari.	W 44-21	128	1	360	5	6
2022	2	• LAC	W 27-24	93	0	226	2	2
2022	3	• at Ind.	L 17-20	58	1	257	1	2
2022	4	at T.B.	W 41-31	189	2	228	3	5
2022	5	L.V.	W 30-29	103	0	265	4	4
2022	6	• Buff.	L 20-24	68	0	319	2	2
2022	7	at S.F.	W 44-23	112	3	417	3	6
2022	8	• Ten.	W 20-17	77	1	422	1	2
2022	9	Jac.	W 27-17	155	0	331	4	4
2022	10	at LAC	W 30-27	163	0	322	3	3
2022	11	• LAR	W 26-10	117	1	320	1	2
2022	12	at Cin.	L 24-27	138	2	211	1	3
2022	13	at Den.	W 34-28	89	0	342	3	3
2022	14	at Hou.	W 30-24	189	2	313	2	4
2022	15	Sea.	W 24-10	77	1	220	2	3
2022	16	Den.	W 27-24	46	1	328	3	4
2022	17	at L.V.	W 31-13	168	3	181	1	4
2023	1	• Det.	L 20-21	90	0	226	2	2
2023	2	• at Jac.	W 17-9	101	0	298	2	2
2023	3	Chi.	W 41-10	153	2	303	3	5
2023	4	• at NYJ	W 23-20	204	1	197	1	2
2023	5	at Min.	W 27-20	67	1	266	2	3
2023	6	• Den.	W 19-8	96	0	293	1	1

—Ian Allan

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